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Dole Hangs on to Slim Lead
Raleigh, N.C. – Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole maintains a slim lead over her Democratic rival state Senator Kay Hagan in the latest poll released today by the Civitas Institute.
According to the live telephone survey of 600 likely General Election voters, Hagan actually leads Dole 41 – 40 among those who initially voiced support for a candidate. However, when undecided voters are asked which way they lean, Dole takes a 43 – 41 lead. Libertarian candidate Chris Cole receives six percent of the vote. 10 percent of voters remained undecided.
“Despite relentless negative TV ads attacking her accomplishments in Washington, Senator Dole is able to hang onto a slim, two point lead. It appears that all of the negative attacks on Senator Dole have aided Libertarian Chris Cole not Senator Hagan” said Francis De Luca, Executive Director of the Civitas Institute.
Hagan has basically held steady in the polls over the past four months, while Dole’s numbers have come down from a June high of 48 percent of the vote.
“The television ads attacking Dole are working to bring Dole back down to Hagan’s level,” added De Luca. “It will be interesting to see if one candidate can break away over the next few weeks by presenting a positive vision for the future.”
The study of 600 registered voters was conducted September 17-20 by Tel Opinion Research of Alexandria, Virginia. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters we interviewed had to have voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general election or were newly registered voters since 2006. The voters were interviewed using live callers.
The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95% of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4.2% of the “True Values.” “True Values” refer to the results obtained if were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general elections or were newly registered voters since 2006.
If you would like more information regarding this topic or to schedule an interview with Francis De Luca, please call Gabe Dellinger at 919.747.8065 or email at Gabe.Dellinger@nccivitas.org.