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NC Poll: McCrory Takes the Lead

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Charlotte Mayor has 2 point lead in latest poll

Raleigh, N.C. – Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory has taken his first lead over Democratic rival Lt. Gov. Bev Perdue in the race to replace Governor Mike Easley according to a new poll released today by the Civitas Institute.

According to the live telephone survey of 600 likely General Election voters, Perdue leads McCrory 39-38 among those who initially voiced support for a candidate. However, when undecided voters are asked which way they lean, McCrory takes a 43-41 lead. Libertarian candidate Michael Munger receives three percent of the vote. 13 percent of voters remained undecided.

“For the first time since we’ve been polling this race, Mayor McCrory has now taken a lead in the race for Governor,” said Francis De Luca, Executive Director of the Civitas Institute. “Throughout this race Lt. Gov. Perdue’s numbers have been flat, this is the first indication we have seen of movement, albeit downward, in her numbers.”

McCrory continues to be buoyed by a strong showing in his home region of Charlotte where he leads 52-31 and has opened up an 18 point lead in the Triad region (53-35). Perdue continues to hold strong support in the Triangle (46-38) and the Northeastern part of the state (49-37).

“A telling sign in this race is the way the undecided voters are leaning when they are asked to pick a candidate. These voters are choosing McCrory by a nearly 3:1 margin,” added De Luca. “As we get closer to the election and more voters make up their minds, if the undecided voters continue to break for McCrory, this could be the race to watch on election night for an upset.”

Previous Civitas Poll results:
May – Perdue 43, McCrory 42
June – Perdue 43, McCrory 41, Munger 2
July – Perdue 43, McCrory 40, Munger 2
August – Perdue 43, McCrory 41, Munger 3

Click here for full results and crosstabs.

The study of 600 registered voters was conducted September 17-20 by Tel Opinion Research of Alexandria, Virginia. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters we interviewed had to have voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general election or were newly registered voters since 2006. The voters were interviewed using live callers.

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95% of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4.2% of the “True Values.” “True Values” refer to the results obtained if were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general elections or were newly registered voters since 2006.

The Civitas Poll is the only monthly, live interviewer, poll on issues and politics conducted in North Carolina.

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If you would like more information regarding this topic or to schedule an interview with Francis De Luca, please call Gabe Dellinger at 919.747.8065 or email at Gabe.Dellinger@nccivitas.org.

This article was posted in Press Releases by Civitas Staff on September 23, 2008 at 9:25 AM.

© 2011 The Civitas Institute. Visit us on the web at www.nccivitas.org.
This article can be found at http://www.nccivitas.org/2008/nc-poll-mccrory-takes-lead/

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