August 2011 Poll Results

This poll of 400 unaffiliated general election voters in North Carolina was conducted August 15-16 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of unaffiliated voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past three general elections (2006, 2008, 2010) or be newly registered to vote since November 2, 2010.

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 400 interviews (registered voters) will be within +/-4.9% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every unaffiliated voter in North Carolina who had voted in at least one of the past three general elections or is newly registered since November 2, 2010.

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Crosstabs for people who answered Somewhat Support

  1. Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction or have gotten off on the wrong track?
    • 40%
      Right Direction
    • 46.7%
      Wrong Track
    • 13.3%
      Don't know/unsure
  2. And if the election for State Legislature were held today, would you be voting for the...
    • 33.3%
      Republican candidate
    • 16.7%
      Democratic candidate
    • 20%
      Neither
    • 30%
      Don't Know/Refused
  3. When you think about voting for North Carolina offices like the state legislature, what issue or problem should be their highest priority?
    • 40%
      Economy and jobs
    • 20%
      Improving public education
    • 6.7%
      Reducing healthcare costs
    • 3.3%
      Government corruption
    • 26.7%
      Budget/spending
    • 3.3%
      Other
  4. Now I am going to read you a list of people active in politics. After I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never heard of them just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one…the first one is… Barack Obama:
    • 36.7%
      Favorable
    • 60%
      Unfavorable
    • 3.3%
      Heard of, no opinion
  5. Nancy Pelosi:
    • 20%
      Favorable
    • 66.7%
      Unfavorable
    • 3.3%
      Heard of, no opinion
    • 10%
      Never heard of
  6. Harry Reid
    • 13.3%
      Favorable
    • 50%
      Unfavorable
    • 10%
      Heard of, no opinion
    • 26.7%
      Never heard of
  7. Bev Perdue
    • 36.7%
      Favorable
    • 56.7%
      Unfavorable
    • 6.7%
      Never heard of
  8. John Boehner
    • 20%
      Favorable
    • 30%
      Unfavorable
    • 30%
      Heard of, no opinion
    • 20%
      Never heard of
  9. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?
    • 13.3%
      Strongly Approve
    • 23.3%
      Somewhat Approve
    • 20%
      Somewhat Disapprove
    • 36.7%
      Strongly Disapprove
    • 6.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  10. In general, are you MOST concerned with...
    • 60%
      Economic issues, jobs, and the economy
    • 10%
      Fiscal issues, like taxes and spending
    • 23.3%
      Social issues, like education, health care, and the environment
    • 3.3%
      Moral issues, like right to life, family values, and same-sex marriage
    • 3.3%
      All/combo
  11. On fiscal issues, like taxes and government spending, do you generally consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate or a conservative?
    • 6.7%
      Liberal
    • 46.7%
      Moderate
    • 46.7%
      Conservative
  12. On social issues, like abortion and marriage, do you generally consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate or a conservative?
    • 20%
      Liberal
    • 50%
      Moderate
    • 26.7%
      Conservative
    • 3.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  13. And, in partisan elections, which of the following would best describe the way you vote?
    • 16.7%
      Always Vote Democrat
    • 20%
      Vote Democrat more often than Republican
    • 46.7%
      Vote Republican more often than Democrat
    • 16.7%
      Both Equally - Split Ticket
  14. Which of the following most reflects your beliefs regarding the impact of taxes:
    • 46.7%
      Tax increases harm economic growth and cause jobs to be lost
    • 33.3%
      Tax increases have no real effect on the economy and job creation
    • 20%
      Tax increases will improve the economy by adding revenue to government
  15. Do you support or oppose drilling for oil and natural gas off the coast of North Carolina?
    • 30%
      Strongly Support
    • 33.3%
      Somewhat Support
    • 20%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 13.3%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 3.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  16. Do you support or oppose amending the North Carolina Constitution to define marriage as only between one man and one woman?
    • 100%
      Somewhat Support
  17. Do you support or oppose the death penalty for First-degree murder?
    • 36.7%
      Strongly Support
    • 43.3%
      Somewhat Support
    • 10%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 6.7%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 3.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  18. Do you support or oppose President Obama’s Health Care reform law?
    • 26.7%
      Strongly Support
    • 10%
      Somewhat Support
    • 6.7%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 50%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 6.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  19. The credit rating agency Standard & Poor recently downgraded the credit of the United States government, meaning they have less faith in the ability of the US government to pay their bills. This may make it more expensive for the American government to borrow money in the future. If you could pick one person or issue that is most responsible for this crisis, what would you say...
    • 16.7%
      Barack Obama
    • 6.7%
      Harry Reid and Democrats in the US Senate
    • 46.7%
      Excessive spending
    • 6.7%
      The tea party
    • 6.7%
      John Boehner and Republicans in the House
    • 16.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  20. If you had to choose which political party carried the most blame for the credit downgrade, would you say:
    • 13.3%
      Democrats
    • 13.3%
      Republicans
    • 70%
      Both parties equally
    • 3.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  21. The Legislature may allow North Carolinians to vote on amending the state Constitution to prevent state and local governments from using the power of eminent domain to seize private property and then turn it over to other private parties without first proving it is for a public use. Would you support or oppose amending the North Carolina Constitution to limit the use of eminent domain to strictly public purposes and not for economic development and other uses?
    • 30%
      Strongly Support
    • 16.7%
      Somewhat Support
    • 20%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 23.3%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 10%
      Don't Know/Refused
  22. The legislature may allow North Carolinians to vote on amending the state Constitution to limit legislative leaders to two terms, including the Speaker of the House of the Representatives and the President of the Senate. Would you support or oppose amending the North Carolina constitution to limit anyone from serving more than two terms in a leadership position?
    • 40%
      Strongly Support
    • 30%
      Somewhat Support
    • 13.3%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 13.3%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 3.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  23. President Obama just signed into law a deal that would allow the federal government to borrow an additional $2.1 trillion between now and 2013 – the largest increase in the debt ceiling’s history. In exchange, there is a promise to reduce the growth rate of federal spending by $2.1 trillion over the next ten years. Do you support or oppose raising the debt ceiling in this way?
    • 13.3%
      Strongly Support
    • 30%
      Somewhat Support
    • 23.3%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 26.7%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 6.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  24. And of the following, which is the strongest reason you oppose raising the debt ceiling... Asked of those who answered the previous question "oppose"
    • 46.7%
      Oppose borrowing more money
    • 40%
      Do not feel there are enough spending cuts
    • 13.3%
      The spending cuts are too much
  25. In June, North Carolina passed legislation authorizing Tax Credits for parents of special needs children to allow them to attend schools that charge tuition. Some people argue that giving parents choice will improve educational outcomes for all students while others argue that taking students away from traditional public schools weaken those schools. Which of the following statements comes closer to your opinion on the issue of school choice and public schools?
    • 63.3%
      Giving parents more choice in K-12 education will improve education for students. North Carolina should move towards allowing more choice in K-12 education for parents and children.
    • 30%
      The state should be the primary educator of all K-12 children. Any legislation that allows parents the ability to move children out of the traditional K-12 public school system will weaken public education.
    • 6.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  26. Based on your knowledge of the recently concluded session of the North Carolina General assembly would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with what the legislature accomplished?
    • 3.3%
      Very satisfied
    • 33.3%
      Somewhat satisfied
    • 26.7%
      Somewhat dissatisfied
    • 10%
      Very dissatisfied
    • 3.3%
      Neutral
    • 23.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  27. If you knew that the legislature balanced the state budget while allowing more than $1 billion in taxes to expire and reduced state spending to match state revenue from existing taxes would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with what the legislature accomplished?
    • 10%
      Very satisfied
    • 56.7%
      Somewhat satisfied
    • 16.7%
      Somewhat dissatisfied
    • 10%
      Very dissatisfied
    • 6.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  28. Who did you vote for or support in the 2008 Presidential Election?
    • 36.7%
      Barack Obama
    • 50%
      John McCain
    • 3.3%
      Someone Else
    • 10%
      Don't Know/Refused
  29. In what year were you born?
    • 6.7%
      18-25
    • 16.7%
      26-40
    • 26.7%
      41-55
    • 26.7%
      56-65
    • 6.7%
      66+
    • 16.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  30. If you were to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political beliefs?
    • 10%
      Somewhat Liberal
    • 53.3%
      Moderate
    • 26.7%
      Somewhat Conservative
    • 3.3%
      Very Conservative
    • 6.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  31. In terms of political party, do you identify more with the Republican Party, the Democratic Party or something else?
    • 23.3%
      Not So Strong Republican
    • 6.7%
      Not So Strong Democrat
    • 13.3%
      Strong Democrat
    • 40%
      Independent/unaffiliated/other
    • 16.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  32. Which of the following statements comes closest to describing your own opinion on the issue of abortion…(
    • 10%
      I am pro-life and oppose abortions under all circumstances
    • 46.7%
      I am pro-life but believe exceptions should be made in cases such as rape, incest, or to save the life of the mother.
    • 20%
      I am pro-choice, but I believe in parental notification and banning partial birth abortion and government funding
    • 16.7%
      I am pro-choice without exception
    • 6.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  33. In terms of your current employment status, would you say you…
    • 16.7%
      Are self-employed
    • 33.3%
      Work for a private company
    • 3.3%
      Work for the federal government
    • 6.7%
      Work for state or local government
    • 10%
      Work in public education
    • 6.7%
      Are a Homemaker
    • 10%
      Are Retired
    • 3.3%
      Are Unemployed
    • 10%
      Don't Know/Refused
  34. Which category best describes your race or ethnicity?
    • 80%
      White or Caucasian
    • 13.3%
      African-American or Black
    • 3.3%
      Other
    • 3.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  35. Gender
    • 56.7%
      Men
    • 43.3%
      Women
  36. Geographic area
    • 26.7%
      Charlotte
    • 23.3%
      Western
    • 16.7%
      Piedmont Triad
    • 23.3%
      Triangle
    • 10%
      Southeast

This article was posted in Poll Results by Civitas Staff on September 21, 2011 at 5:00 AM.

© 2011 The Civitas Institute. Visit us on the web at www.nccivitas.org.
This article can be found at http://www.nccivitas.org/2011/august-2011-poll-results/

Comments on this article

  • 1

    Arthur Dehon
    Arthur Dehon Sep 21, 2011 at 8:01

    2011 compared to 2010 leads me to conclude the liberals are gaining strength again.

  • 2

    David Millard
    David Millard Sep 21, 2011 at 8:11

    Questions that refer to issues of voting should be limited to for, against, or nuetral. The other answers do not reflect how someone may vote or how they will support the issue, therefore the results are unreliable and confusing. You can’t have fence straddlers at the poles.

  • 3

    The Wilmington Watcher
    The Wilmington Watcher Sep 21, 2011 at 8:52

    I cannot believe the idiocy that continues to pervade this state. #26 & #27 are funny – the first one people clearly had no clue about the issues, they just wanted to lash out as those evil republicans; and then the next question after given a little more detail about what was accomplished gave a more supportive answer. We have to be the most progressive state in the south; all of these hard-nosed liberals owning the discussion; yet when asked, “oh I’m a moderate”…. yeah right. They think if only the identify themselves as “moderate” they won’t be held responsible for anything, and they don’t even have to know any of the issues – as this poll clearly shows. Conservative realists need to do a better job of reaching the population where they are.

  • 4

    john blackwell
    john blackwell Sep 21, 2011 at 8:58

    as i see it n.c. is a swing state.we have a lot of people who don`t know or refuse to answer.it would be nice to know if you live in this state to care enough to know what is happening and have a voice in it affairs.

  • 5

    RaleighJacket
    RaleighJacket Sep 21, 2011 at 9:45

    If you look at the demographics of the poll, this one skews more Democratic and younger than the one in 2010, which probably explains some of the difference in results. Many of the results seem to be within the margin of error of the 2010 results also, so it may not be a statistically significant difference.

  • 6

    Greg Lovejoy
    Greg Lovejoy Sep 21, 2011 at 10:21

    How do we teach what is going on? The GOP is in power for the 1st time in a 100 years and both parties are blamed? I bet that 100% of the polled know all the hit tv shows and singers and Hollywood. Sad

  • 7

    Statistician
    Statistician Sep 21, 2011 at 10:54

    First place to read is to compare the demographics of the sample. Much of the change can be attributed to the random change in the sample demographics.

    34) Which category best describes your race or ethnicity?
    2010 2011
    White or Caucasian 93% 79%
    African American or Black 4% 10%
    Hispanic or Latino 1% 3%

    and this one:
    28) Who did you vote for or support in the 2008 Presidential Election?
    2010 2011
    Barack Obama 44% 50%
    John McCain 47% 37%

    So this year’s survey got 14% more non-white respondents, and 10% fewer McCain voters. That might explain a good chunk of the year-to-year variations.

  • 8

    sandy mcneal
    sandy mcneal Sep 21, 2011 at 11:11

    The poll tells me that the GOP and conservatives had better get their act together for 2012! If they are going to swing NC to the Republican candidate, they need to be doing far, far more ads and getting the message out, as well as grass roots organization. Considering the number of moderates, the candidate is going to have to appeal to them and a *fringe* candidate such as Ron Paul isn’t going to get elected. We have work to do people!

  • 9

    maryze foust
    maryze foust Sep 21, 2011 at 11:26

    In Rutherford county 60 o/o voted straight republican in 2010
    ..yet this poll shows differently..also, anyone who follows the state congress has to agree that the budget is great for next year..i think a lot of people in this poll don’t even follow politics ..especially if they think obama is doing a good job.. you are right Watcher.. heads are buried deep in the sand..the democratic party is no longer your daddy’s party.. it is a strong socialist party today..

  • 10

    Jack Mizzelle
    Jack Mizzelle Sep 21, 2011 at 12:41

    people should wake up open there eyes Obama & the democratic are not good for our state or county they want to take our money & freedom,i am first a tee party conservative then a republican.

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