May 2011 Poll Results

This poll of 600 registered general election voters in North Carolina was conducted May 10-11, 2011 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in two of the past four general elections or were newly registered to vote since 2008.

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +/-4% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in two of the past four general elections or were newly registered to vote since 2008.

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Crosstabs for people who answered Triangle

  1. Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction or have gotten off on the wrong track?
    • 37.5%
      Right Direction
    • 48.4%
      Wrong Track
    • 14.1%
      Don't Know/Refused
  2. And if the election for State Legislature were held today, would you be voting for the:
    • 38.3%
      Republican candidate
    • 35.9%
      Democratic candidate
    • 2.3%
      Neither
    • 23.4%
      Don't Know/Refused
  3. If you were to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political beliefs?
    • 7.8%
      Very Liberal
    • 10.2%
      Somewhat Liberal
    • 33.6%
      Moderate
    • 24.2%
      Somewhat Conservative
    • 17.2%
      Very Conservative
    • 7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  4. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Bev Perdue is doing as Governor?
    • 12.5%
      Strongly Approve
    • 37.5%
      Somewhat Approve
    • 11.7%
      Somewhat Disapprove
    • 26.6%
      Strongly Disapprove
    • 11.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  5. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President of the United States?
    • 35.9%
      Strongly Approve
    • 23.4%
      Somewhat Approve
    • 8.6%
      Somewhat Disapprove
    • 29.7%
      Strongly Disapprove
    • 2.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  6. Do you support or oppose the Tea Party Movement?
    • 14.1%
      Strongly Support
    • 17.2%
      Somewhat Support
    • 14.8%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 29.7%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 24.2%
      Don't Know/Refused
  7. Talking about the economy, in your opinion, how much longer do you think it will take for the economy to improve and the current recession to end? If you think the current recession has ended just say so.
    • 0.8%
      Under 6 months
    • 7.8%
      Between 6 months and a year
    • 24.2%
      Between 1 and 2 years
    • 59.4%
      Over 2 years
    • 1.6%
      Recession has ended
    • 6.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  8. Would you be more or less likely to vote for a legislator in 2012 who voted to raise taxes by over $800 million?
    • 10.2%
      Much more likely
    • 8.6%
      Somewhat more likely
    • 17.2%
      Somewhat less likely
    • 46.9%
      Much less likely
    • 5.5%
      No Difference
    • 11.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  9. Would you support or oppose a plan by Governor Bev Perdue to raise taxes by over $800 million?
    • 10.9%
      Strongly suppot
    • 10.2%
      Somewhat Support
    • 15.6%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 50%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 13.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  10. Here is a short list of issues in the news. For each, please tell me on a scale of 1 to 10 how important that issue is in terms of how you will vote in the next NORTH CAROLINA legislative election, with 10 being Extremely Important and 1 being Not Important at all. Remember, you can use any number between 1 and 10. The first one is: Economy and Jobs:
    • 57%
      10
    • 12.5%
      9
    • 14.8%
      8
    • 7%
      7
    • 2.3%
      6
    • 6.3%
      5
  11. Roads and Highways
    • 14.1%
      10
    • 3.9%
      9
    • 14.8%
      8
    • 14.1%
      7
    • 10.9%
      6
    • 21.1%
      5
    • 7.8%
      4
    • 6.3%
      3
    • 3.1%
      2
    • 3.1%
      1
    • 0.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  12. Immigration
    • 21.9%
      10
    • 6.3%
      9
    • 13.3%
      8
    • 13.3%
      7
    • 6.3%
      6
    • 14.1%
      5
    • 4.7%
      4
    • 8.6%
      3
    • 5.5%
      2
    • 4.7%
      1
    • 1.6%
      Don't Know/Refused
  13. Government ethics and corruption
    • 39.8%
      10
    • 7.8%
      9
    • 15.6%
      8
    • 9.4%
      7
    • 6.3%
      6
    • 11.7%
      5
    • 3.1%
      4
    • 0.8%
      3
    • 0.8%
      2
    • 2.3%
      1
    • 2.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  14. Taxes
    • 28.9%
      10
    • 7%
      9
    • 25.8%
      8
    • 7%
      7
    • 7.8%
      6
    • 16.4%
      5
    • 1.6%
      4
    • 0.8%
      2
    • 3.9%
      1
    • 0.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  15. Education
    • 52.3%
      10
    • 10.2%
      9
    • 11.7%
      8
    • 5.5%
      7
    • 4.7%
      6
    • 9.4%
      5
    • 1.6%
      4
    • 1.6%
      2
    • 3.1%
      1
  16. Government spending
    • 46.9%
      10
    • 7.8%
      9
    • 14.1%
      8
    • 8.6%
      7
    • 7%
      6
    • 7.8%
      5
    • 1.6%
      4
    • 3.1%
      3
    • 3.1%
      1
  17. As you may know, concealed carry permits allow licensed individuals to legally carry a concealed handgun after they passing a background check and taking a class on gun use and laws. Do you support the right of citizens to carry a concealed weapon?
    • 38.3%
      Strongly Support
    • 21.1%
      Somewhat Support
    • 10.9%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 27.3%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 2.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  18. Now I am going to read you a series of issues. Please tell me who you trust more -- the State Legislature or Governor Perdue -- to handle each of the following issues. The first one is: Cutting State Spending:
    • 50%
      Legislature
    • 32%
      Perdue
    • 2.3%
      Both
    • 6.3%
      Neither
    • 9.4%
      Don't Know/Refused
  19. Keeping state taxes low
    • 49.2%
      Legislature
    • 26.6%
      Perdue
    • 2.3%
      Both
    • 13.3%
      Neither
    • 8.6%
      Don't Know/Refused
  20. Encouraging job creation
    • 45.3%
      Legislature
    • 35.9%
      Perdue
    • 5.5%
      Both
    • 7%
      Neither
    • 6.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  21. Fighting corruption in state government
    • 43.8%
      Legislature
    • 31.3%
      Perdue
    • 1.6%
      Both
    • 13.3%
      Neither
    • 10.2%
      Don't Know/Refused
  22. Which level of government do you most trust to protect the educational quality of your public schools?
    • 25.8%
      State government
    • 65.6%
      Local government
    • 1.6%
      Other
    • 2.3%
      Neither
    • 4.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  23. Does North Carolina spend too much on K-12 public education, not enough on public education or does it spend about the right amount?
    • 13.3%
      Too much
    • 31.3%
      Right amount
    • 50%
      Not enough
    • 5.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  24. Think for a moment about the 1.5 million students enrolled in kindergarten through high school in North Carolina public schools In the past school year (2009-10) On average, how much in total tax dollars do you think North Carolina spends per student on education?
    • 8.6%
      Over $12,000
    • 2.3%
      Between $10,500 and $12,000
    • 6.3%
      Between $8,500 and $10,500
    • 3.1%
      Between $7,000 and $8,500
    • 10.2%
      Between $5,000 and $7,000
    • 18%
      Below $5,000
    • 51.6%
      Don't Know/Refused
  25. North Carolina actually spends about $8,500 each year in total tax dollars per student on K-12 (K through twelve) education. Knowing North Carolina spends $8,500 per student on K-12 education is that too much, too little or about the right amount?
    • 18.8%
      Too much
    • 41.4%
      Right amount
    • 32%
      Not enough
    • 7.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  26. In your opinion, do you think North Carolina taxpayers are getting a good return on their investment of $8,500 per student per year?
    • 32.8%
      Yes
    • 57.8%
      No
    • 9.4%
      Don't Know/Refused
  27. Split Sample

    • Currently North Carolina statutes allow only certain membership organizations to collect their membership dues via payroll deduction. Some people want to end this practice and make the groups collect their dues like other membership or interest organizations. Do you think certain organizations should...
      • 23.8%
        Continue to be able to collect dues through payroll deductions
      • 46%
        Have to collect dues directly from members like other groups
      • 30.2%
        Don't Know/Refused
    • The state of North Carolina deducts union dues directly from the paychecks of some teachers and state employees and sends them directly to the unions. Do you think that...
      • 24.6%
        The state should continue to collect these dues through payroll deductions
      • 47.7%
        Have to collect dues directly from members like other groups
      • 27.7%
        Don't Know/Refused
  28. Currently, the state pays for all of the state employees' and teacher's health insurance costs. Teachers and state employees pay nothing. Do you support or oppose a bill passed this year by the state legislature requiring state employees and teachers to pay between 11 and 22 dollars each month for their health insurance?
    • 39.8%
      Strongly Support
    • 21.9%
      Somewhat Support
    • 10.2%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 24.2%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 3.9%
      Don't Know/Refused
  29. Governor Perdue has proposed a 19.9 billion dollar budget. In order to pay for her budget she would raise taxes on NC residents by 826 million dollars. The North Carolina House passed a budget of 19.3 billion dollars, which cut spending, but raised no taxes. Which option do you support?
    • 22.7%
      Governor Perdue's 19.9 billion dollar budget, where taxes for residents would need to be raised by 826 million dollars
    • 62.5%
      The North Carolina House budget of 19.3 billion dollars, which cut spending , but raised no taxes..
    • 4.7%
      Neither/other
    • 10.2%
      Don't Know/Refused
  30. Split Sample

    • Would you support or oppose allowing someone with a permit to carry a concealed weapon to carry a gun into an eating establishment that serves alcohol?
      • 11.1%
        Strongly Support
      • 11.1%
        Somewhat Support
      • 15.9%
        Somewhat Oppose
      • 57.1%
        Strongly Oppose
      • 4.8%
        Don't Know/Refused
    • Would you support or oppose allowing someone with a permit to carry a concealed weapon to carry a gun into a bar?
      • 9.2%
        Strongly Support
      • 6.2%
        Somewhat Support
      • 6.2%
        Somewhat Oppose
      • 76.9%
        Strongly Oppose
      • 1.5%
        Don't Know/Refused
  31. The legislature and governor plan to spend up to 40 million dollars in incentives to encourage companies to locate in North Carolina or to hire more people. Please tell me which of the following comes closer to your opinion in this matter..
    • 60.9%
      Some people say that this is a good way to spend the money because it could result in good job creation
    • 31.3%
      Other people say that there are better ways to spend the money, like on schools and public safety
    • 7.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  32. Unemployment benefits for some individuals expired after they collected benefits for 77 weeks. If the legislature changes state law the federal government will spend another $273 million in taxpayer money to give these individuals another 20 weeks of unemployment. Would you support or oppose the legislature changing state law to give another 20 weeks of unemployment to those whose benefits have expired?
    • 35.2%
      Strongly Support
    • 16.4%
      Somewhat Support
    • 9.4%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 30.5%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 8.6%
      Don't Know/Refused
  33. The North Carolina Constitution requires a balanced budget. To balance that budget this year the legislature has two options. They can spend more by raising taxes or cut spending to meet the $19.1 billion dollars of revenue available. The governor proposed a 19.9 billion dollar budget with over 800 million dollars in tax increases. The legislature passed a spending plan that is about 800 million dollars lower without raising taxes. Which of those two options do you support;
    • 21.9%
      Spending more with a tax increase
    • 68%
      Spending available revenue with no tax increase
    • 2.3%
      Neither/other
    • 7.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  34. Do you support or oppose the death penalty for violent offenders in North Carolina?
    • 46.1%
      Strongly Support
    • 19.5%
      Somewhat Support
    • 9.4%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 18.8%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 6.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  35. Should a hospital be required to ask permission from a state agency prior to buying a piece of medical equipment, adding on to a hospital building or building a new hospital? They would still be required to get all the local permits any other construction project would have to get.
    • 31.3%
      Yes
    • 51.6%
      No
    • 17.2%
      Don't Know/Refused
  36. There is proposed legislation that would require that a woman seeking an abortion must first consult with a doctor, who would then provide an ultrasound image of the fetus, and then provide the woman with information on alternatives to abortion. After this, the legislation would require a 24-hour waiting period before the abortion can be performed. Do you support or oppose this proposed legislation?
    • 35.9%
      Strongly Support
    • 10.9%
      Somewhat Support
    • 7%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 32.8%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 13.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  37. In 2010 the legislature and governor passed a law that raised North Carolina’s gas tax by turning what had been a CAP on how high the tax could be into a floor beneath which the tax could not fall. Due to rising gas prices in July the tax on gas will increase from 32 cents to 36 cents a gallon if the legislature and governor do not act. Should the legislature and governor act and reinstate the CAP on the gas tax or should it allow the tax to continue to rise with the price of gas?
    • 78.1%
      The legislature should act and reinstate the CAP on the gas tax
    • 17.2%
      The tax should continue to rise with the price of gas
    • 4.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  38. Gasoline prices are reaching record highs. Please tell me which of the following opinions comes closer to your own...
    • 13.3%
      Some people say this is good as people will drive less, use more public transportation and pollute less
    • 79.7%
      Other people say high gas prices are bad as they strain the budgets of families and will hurt the economy.
    • 7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  39. Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement: "Due to higher gas prices, I will have to change my memorial day or summer vacation plans."
    • 34.4%
      Strongly Agree
    • 7%
      Somewhat Agree
    • 14.1%
      Somewhat Disagree
    • 37.5%
      Strongly Disagree
    • 7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  40. The state of North Carolina provides 11 million dollars a year in taxpayer support to subsidize UNC public TV. With cutbacks in other state programs should the state continue to spend this money?
    • 44.5%
      Yes
    • 41.4%
      No
    • 14.1%
      Don't Know/Refused
  41. Are you or is any member of your family currently unemployed and would like to be employed?
    • 7.8%
      Yes, I am unemployed
    • 8.6%
      Yes, family member is
    • 1.6%
      Yes, both myself and a family member
    • 78.1%
      No
    • 3.9%
      Don't Know/Refused
  42. In what year were you born?
    • 3.1%
      18-25
    • 14.1%
      26-40
    • 33.6%
      41-55
    • 11.7%
      56-65
    • 28.1%
      66+
    • 9.4%
      Don't Know/Refused
  43. In terms of your current employment status, would you say you…
    • 9.4%
      Are self-employed
    • 28.9%
      Work for a private company
    • 1.6%
      Work for the federal government
    • 9.4%
      Work for state or local government
    • 5.5%
      Work in public education
    • 6.3%
      Are a Homemaker
    • 27.3%
      Are Retired
    • 7%
      Are Unemployed
    • 4.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  44. Of the following which best describes your use of guns?
    • 24.2%
      Own a gun but do not have a concealed carry permit
    • 9.4%
      Own a gun and have a concealed carry permit
    • 57%
      Have neither a gun nor a concealed carry permit
    • 9.4%
      Don't Know/Refused
  45. Which category best describes your race or ethnicity?
    • 78.1%
      White or Caucasian
    • 18%
      African-American or Black
    • 2.3%
      Native American
    • 1.6%
      Don't Know/Refused
  46. Would you consider the area you live in to be...
    • 24.2%
      Urban
    • 51.6%
      Suburban
    • 18.8%
      Rural
    • 5.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  47. Gender
    • 43%
      Men
    • 57%
      Women
  48. Geographic area
    • 100%
      Triangle
  49. Party Registration
    • 35.2%
      Republican
    • 47.7%
      Democrat
    • 17.2%
      Independent/Other

This article was posted in Poll Results by Civitas Staff on June 15, 2011 at 6:00 AM.

© 2011 The Civitas Institute. Visit us on the web at www.nccivitas.org.
This article can be found at http://www.nccivitas.org/2011/may-2011-poll-results/

Comments on this article

  • 1

    Reggie Medlin
    Reggie Medlin Jun 15, 2011 at 7:31

    Interesting data. What part of “cut spending and not raise taxes” does Gov. Perdue not understand?

  • 2

    Martha Cable
    Martha Cable Jun 15, 2011 at 8:07

    Fifty-eight percent DON’T own a gun? Where did you take these surveys,. in the middle of liberal leaning suburbia? EVERYONE I know owns a gun.
    Spending more money doesn’t make the students smarter. Coming from homes with supportive parents and wanting to learn makes the difference. They only teach liberal indoctrination and how to pass test scores. To be PC they dumb down tests “so all can pass”. This country is doomed!

  • 3

    Mark Villee
    Mark Villee Jun 15, 2011 at 9:25

    Although this poll apparently gives a good sample of the general populations’ opinion, it is still the minority number of people who vote that will determine the state’s and country’s direction. Moral of the story… get out and vote if you care about the state and the country.
    UNLESS YOU GET INVOLVED IN THE POLITICAL PROCESS, YOU ARE DESTINED TO BE RULED BY YOUR INFERIORS.

  • 4

    W. Signorini
    W. Signorini Jun 15, 2011 at 9:52

    I think the question regarding concealed carry into a bar could have been better phrased. My answer would be different depending on whether the person is drinking. I have no problem with someone who has a concealed permit carrying into a bar but think that he/she should not be allowed to consume alcohol.No one who is carrying a gun needs to be drinking. I also think your responses to the poll question would have been different with that additional requirement.

  • 5

    curtis fretwell
    curtis fretwell Jun 15, 2011 at 9:55

    very interesting, if accurate I cannot see how B H O & Perdue can
    be reelected.
    I hope the House & Senate will continue to dismantle the minorty
    rule in N.C.
    WE MUST DO WHAT IS NEEDED TO GET THE STATE ON A SOLID FOOTING.

  • 6

    John McLaughlin
    John McLaughlin Jun 15, 2011 at 12:40

    INteresting poll
    I for one don’t agree with the numbers on guns, most people I know have guns. As for more money for education, I do not believe that is the answer, more commitment from the students and the parents is what is needed. I do not believe the system is doing a good job with education and more money seems to make it worse. About taxes we are taxed enough now. About illegals we need tougher laws and action. What is so difficult about understanding illegal. The liberal laws and actions are what is ruining this country. No amnestity ever.

  • 7

    Evelyn Richards
    Evelyn Richards Jun 15, 2011 at 14:59

    Being fairly new in this state, nine years, does not give you a grasp on the thinking of the people, however, a poll such as this gives a good grasp on the thinking of the people and I am pleasantly pleased with most of the results. Keeping the population aprised of what is happening in our State as well as in this United States is so vital as to where we are going in this next election.

  • 8

    Thomas
    Thomas Jun 15, 2011 at 16:33

    I am a NC teacher. The new standards are a joke. If the purpose of public education is to create an informed voter, we’ve failed miserably. According to a recent poll, only 12% of HS grads are considered proficient in their knowledge of the Constitution. It didn’t measure levels of proficiency in understanding basic principles of Economics, but it should had. How can someone be an informed voter when they don’t even understand the simple time tested idea Keynesian Economics (stimulus by government) is and was a complete failure? PEOPLE create wealth! We need to conduct elections based upon objective data – this is not American Idol. By the way, if I must sacrifice as a teacher for the better good, so be it. I’ll not behave as the teachers in Wisconsin.

  • 9

    Thomas
    Thomas Jun 15, 2011 at 16:38

    I think it good to know a little about public education most are NOT aware of. The State Assembly quietly eliminated the statewide gateway system whereas 3rd and 8th graders had to meet benchmark standards in order to be promoted. Principals passed them on anyway because many were considered discipline problems. Apparently, too many HS students were failing the U.S. History and Economics-Civics EOC exams. So, these were eliminated, too. Result? An ignorant electorate! But, have heart! HS football coaches won’t actually have to teach Social Studies anymore… Status quo… So, are your hard earned dollars producing better prepared students?

  • 10

    Patricia S. Broderick
    Patricia S. Broderick Jun 15, 2011 at 16:41

    Regarding spending on schools, and aproval of Perdue…..there is no curing Stupid.

  • 11

    John S Gardiner
    John S Gardiner Jun 15, 2011 at 21:25

    You state this:
    Currently, the state pays for all of the state employees’ and teacher’s health insurance costs. Teachers and state employees pay nothing. Do you support or oppose a bill passed this year by the state legislature requiring state employees and teachers to pay between 11 and 22 dollars each month for their health insurance?

    My daughter is a single teacher and she does pay health insurance premiums.

    what gives ?

    BTW I am a Fan of Civitas
    Regards,
    Jay

  • 12

    Len Tower
    Len Tower Jun 16, 2011 at 6:25

    There was a question about concealed cary in places that serve alcohol. What wasn’t pointed out was that the permit holder would not be allowed to drink alcohol while carrying in that establishment. Also that less than 0.29% of concealed carry permits have been revoked as of 2009 in North Carolina.

  • 13

    Art Wilson
    Art Wilson Jun 17, 2011 at 15:23

    The amount of dollars spent is not the problem, it is HOW they are spent. Nothing will equal parental involvement with the kids education. The school is not a substitute parent. The schools are to educate; self esteem and discipline are the parents job.

  • 14

    Richard N. Strube
    Richard N. Strube Jun 17, 2011 at 22:29

    Lets hold there feet to the fire and balance the budget and cut out all of these wastefull programs.Live with in our means and make our state stronger. To be rather then seem.

  • 15

    Alan Addington
    Alan Addington Jun 19, 2011 at 18:29

    Concealed carry questions needed to be more specific (consuming/not consuming).

    I need to take more people shooting.

    We need to completely privatize education.

  • 16

    Francis De Luca
    Francis De Luca Jun 20, 2011 at 14:41

    For the gun question – good point on the question not pointing out that the permit holder could not consume alcohol. We will ask the question again with that information included. Thank you for the feedback.

    One of the hard part about asking polling questions is that you can’t tell the person you are polling every bit of information as that would make the survey instrument so long nobody would stay around to the finish.

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