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April 2012 Democratic Primary Survey

This poll and the Democratic primary survey were each of 400 registered voters who were likely primary voters in their respective primaries in North Carolina and was conducted between April 30 and May 2, 2012 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered 2012 primary election voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two primary elections (2008, 2010) or be newly registered to vote since May 1, 2010.

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 400 interviews (registered voters) will be within +- 4.9% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in at least one of the past two primary elections or is newly registered to vote since May 1, 2010.

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  1. Do you generally consider yourself to be…
    • 54.3%
      A strong Democrat
    • 23.5%
      A not so strong Democrat
    • 22.3%
      Unaffiliated or independent
  2. First, have you already voted, either by absentee mail or in-person at a one-stop early voting site, or are you planning to vote at your polling place on Election Day?
    • 1.8%
      Already voted by mail
    • 13.8%
      Already voted in-person at a one-stop early voting site
    • 0.5%
      Plan on voting by mail
    • 13.3%
      Plan on voting in-person at a one-stop early voting site
    • 70.8%
      Plan on voting at a polling place on election day
  3. And can you please tell me who you voted for Governor? Asked of those who have already voted
    • 24.2%
      Walter Dalton
    • 19.4%
      Bob Etheridge
    • 3.2%
      Bill Faison
    • 1.6%
      Gary Dunn
    • 1.6%
      Gardenia Henley
    • 6.5%
      Other
    • 43.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  4. And can you please tell me who you voted for Lieutenant Governor? Asked of those who have already voted
    • 29%
      Linda Coleman
    • 14.5%
      Eric Mansfield
    • 56.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  5. And can you please tell me who you voted for President? Asked of those who have already voted
    • 53.2%
      Barack Obama
    • 19.4%
      No preference
    • 27.4%
      Don't Know/Refused
  6. And, on a scale of one to ten, how likely do you think you are to vote in the May 8th Democratic Primary election? One means you are not at all likely to vote, five means there is a 50-50 chance you will vote, and ten means it is certain that you will vote in the Primary in May. Remember you can use any number between one and ten. Asked of those who have not yet voted
    • 6.2%
      5
    • 1.2%
      6
    • 0.6%
      7
    • 4.4%
      8
    • 4.7%
      9
    • 82.8%
      10
  7. How enthusiastic are you to vote in the May Democratic Primary? Asked of those who have not yet voted
    • 49.4%
      Very enthusiastic
    • 35.2%
      Somewhat enthusiastic
    • 7.1%
      Not very enthusiastic
    • 5%
      Not at all enthusiastic
    • 3.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  8. And, thinking for a moment about things in North Carolina…. do you feel that things in North Carolina are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
    • 28.8%
      Right Direction
    • 54.5%
      Wrong Track
    • 16.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  9. Do you support or oppose a constitutional amendment that says: "Marriage between one man and one woman is the only domestic legal union that shall be valid or recognized in this State?"
    • 38.3%
      Strongly Support
    • 6.5%
      Somewhat Support
    • 6.3%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 40.8%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 8.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  10. Now I am going to read you a list of people active in politics. After I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you never heard of them, just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one... the first one is Bev Perdue:
    • 28%
      Very Favorable
    • 27.5%
      Somewhat Favorable
    • 12.5%
      Somewhat Unfavorable
    • 15.8%
      Very Unfavorable
    • 13.8%
      Heard of, no opinion
    • 2.5%
      Never heard of
  11. Pat McCrory
    • 10.5%
      Very Favorable
    • 21.3%
      Somewhat Favorable
    • 11.3%
      Somewhat Unfavorable
    • 17.5%
      Very Unfavorable
    • 27.3%
      Heard of, no opinion
    • 12.3%
      Never heard of
  12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
    • 51%
      Strongly Approve
    • 20.8%
      Somewhat Approve
    • 9.5%
      Somewhat Disapprove
    • 15%
      Strongly Disapprove
    • 3.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  13. Would you vote to re-elect President Obama, no matter who is running against him, or would you consider voting for someone else?
    • 53.5%
      Definitely re-elect
    • 9.5%
      Probably re-elect
    • 11.3%
      Probably someone else
    • 16%
      Definitely someone else
    • 9.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  14. If the Democratic Primary for Governor were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between: Asked of those who have not yet voted
    • 10.9%
      Definitely Dalton
    • 10.9%
      Probably Dalton
    • 2.1%
      Lean Dalton
    • 13.3%
      Definitely Etheridge
    • 9.5%
      Probably Etheridge
    • 3.3%
      Lean Etheridge
    • 0.9%
      Definitely Faison
    • 1.2%
      Probably Faison
    • 0.6%
      Lean Faison
    • 1.2%
      Total Dunn
    • 0.3%
      Total Henley
    • 0.9%
      Total Blackmon
    • 37.6%
      Hard undecided
    • 1.5%
      Other
    • 5.9%
      Don't Know/Refused
  15. Would you have preferred Governor Bev Perdue to run for re-election instead of the choices you have?
    • 36.3%
      Yes, I would have preferred Governor Perdue to run for re-election
    • 43.8%
      No, I prefer one of the other candidates
    • 20%
      Don't Know/Refused
  16. If the Democratic Primary for Lieutenant Governor were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Linda Coleman and Eric Mansfield… Asked of those who have not yet voted
    • 6.2%
      Definitely Coleman
    • 8%
      Probably Coleman
    • 3.6%
      Lean Coleman
    • 55.6%
      Undecided
    • 2.7%
      Lean Mansfield
    • 8%
      Probably Mansfield
    • 6.5%
      Definitely Mansfield
    • 9.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  17. In what year were you born?
    • 1.3%
      18-25
    • 6.3%
      26-40
    • 24.8%
      41-55
    • 29.8%
      56-65
    • 28.5%
      66+
    • 9.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  18. In terms of your current employment status, would you say you...
    • 10.5%
      Are self-employed
    • 21.8%
      Work for a private company
    • 12.5%
      Work for Government
    • 3.3%
      Are a Spouse (homemaker)
    • 41.3%
      Are Retired
    • 6.8%
      Are Unemployed
    • 4%
      Don't Know/Refused
  19. If you were to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political beliefs?
    • 15%
      Very Liberal
    • 16%
      Somewhat Liberal
    • 36.5%
      Moderate
    • 14.3%
      Somewhat Conservative
    • 9.8%
      Very Conservative
    • 8.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  20. Which category best describes your race or ethnicity?
    • 70.5%
      White or Caucasian
    • 24.8%
      African-American or Black
    • 1.3%
      Hispanic or Latino
    • 2%
      Native American
    • 1.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  21. Now I am going to read you a range of annual household incomes. When I get to the one that best describes you annual household income, just let me know and I will move on to the next question…
    • 14.3%
      Twenty five thousand dollars or less
    • 23%
      Between 25 and 50 thousand dollars
    • 15.8%
      Between 50 and 75 thousand dollars
    • 10.5%
      Between 75 and 100 thousand dollars
    • 8.3%
      Between 100 and 150 thousand dollars
    • 2.3%
      Between 150 and 200 thousand dollars
    • 2%
      Over 200 thousand dollars
    • 24%
      Don't Know/Refused
  22. Gender
    • 47.8%
      Men
    • 52.3%
      Women
  23. Geographic area
    • 17%
      Charlotte
    • 12.3%
      Western
    • 16.3%
      Piedmont Triad
    • 28.3%
      Triangle
    • 13.8%
      Northeast
    • 12.5%
      Southeast

This article was posted in Poll Results by Civitas Staff on May 29, 2012 at 10:59 AM.

© 2011 The Civitas Institute. Visit us on the web at www.nccivitas.org.
This article can be found at http://www.nccivitas.org/2012/april-2012-democratic-primary-survey/

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