Raleigh, NC – The struggling economy and improving the state’s education system top the Civitas Institute’s May DecisionMaker poll as the most important issues needing addressed by state government. The poll also reveals voters’ support for a voter ID law, the marriage amendment and drilling off the coast of North Carolina for oil and natural gas.
May 2008 DecisionMaker Poll
Raleigh, NC – The race for Governor in North Carolina begins as a wide open affair with Lt. Gov. Bev Perdue (D) and Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) in a virtual tie according to a new poll released today by the Civitas Institute. Of the 800 likely general election voters surveyed, 43 percent support Perdue while 42 percent support McCrory. 15 percent of voters were undecided at this point.
NC Poll: Dole Leads Hagan 45-43
Only 58% of Democrats Support Obama – Only 27% of Whites
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 21, 2008 CONTACT: Chris Hayes (919) 834-2099 firstname.lastname@example.org Poll: NC Voters Oppose Collective Bargaining 2-1 Margin Against Labor Agenda Raleigh, NC – Now that the State Employees Association of North Carolina (SEANC) has officially aligned with the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), these groups have made overturning North Carolina’s ban on […]
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 20, 2008 CONTACT: Jameson Taylor (919) 834-2099 email@example.com Poll: NC Voters Support Marriage Amendment Support Higher Among Blacks than Whites Raleigh, NC – With the recent decision by the California Supreme Court overturning its state’s ban on gay marriage still in the headlines, voters in North Carolina strongly support enacting an Amendment to the North Carolina Constitution defining marriage as between one man and one woman. When asked, 71 percent of voters support enacting the Amendment while only 26 percent are opposed. Three percent were not sure. “North Carolina voters clearly want traditional marriage codified into our Constitution, yet the General Assembly has failed to hear this measure year after year,” stated Dr. Jameson Taylor, Director of Policy at the Civitas Institute. Among African-American voters, 86 percent favor the marriage amendment, while only 13 percent oppose. The margin among white voters is considerably closer at 67-30. “Our nation’s core values of marriage being between one man and one woman are reaffirmed by this poll. Despite the decision by the California Supreme Court stating otherwise, North Carolina wants to protect traditional marriage,” Dr. Taylor concluded. The study of 800 registered voters was conducted May 14-17 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Virginia. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters we interviewed had to have voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general election or were newly registered voters since 2006. The voters were interviewed using live callers. The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95% of the time, results from 800 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-3.7% of the “True Values.” “True Values” refer to the results obtained if were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general elections or were newly registered voters since 2006. Full text of question: DO YOU SUPPORT A CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT DEFINING MARRIAGE AS BETWEEN ONE MAN AND ONE WOMAN? # % 1. YES 568 71 2. NO 210 26 98. NOT SURE 22 3
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 20, 2008 CONTACT: Chris Hayes (919) 834-2099/(919) 771-5954 or firstname.lastname@example.org NC Voters Oppose Gas Tax Holiday, Support Offshore Drilling Would Rather Keep Taxes for Highways than Temporary Relief Raleigh, NC – Faced with gas prices nearing $4 per gallon and the traditionally heavy summer driving months ahead, voters in North Carolina resoundingly reject the idea of temporarily suspending the state’s gas tax. At the same time, voters overwhelmingly support oil and gas exploration off of the North Carolina coast. The Civitas Institute’s May DecisionMaker poll reveals that 60 percent of voters prefer to keep gas tax revenues for road construction and maintenance rather than temporarily suspend the gas tax for a few months. 28 percent favored suspension of the tax while 12 percent were not sure. Voters also approved of opening up North Carolina’s coastal waters to oil and gas exploration by a nearly 7:2 margin. 68 percent polled favored exploration while only 20 percent were opposed to the idea. 11 percent were not sure. “It is apparent that voters believe increased oil and gas exploration is a better solution to rising gas prices than temporarily suspending the gas tax. It seems they seek a more permanent fix from rising prices rather than the ‘quick fix’ temporary solution,” stated Civitas Legislative Policy Analyst Chris Hayes. Recently, Presidential candidates John McCain and Hillary Clinton both called for suspending the federal portion of the gas tax for the summer months. Yesterday, Rep. Joe Boylan (R-Moore) filed HB 2193 to suspend the state portion of the gas tax for summer. The study of 800 registered voters was conducted May 14-17 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Virginia. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters we interviewed had to have voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general election or were newly registered voters since 2006. The voters were interviewed using live callers. The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95% of the time, results from 800 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-3.7% of the “True Values.” “True Values” refer to the results obtained if were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general elections or were newly registered voters since 2006. Full text of questions: DO YOU SUPPORT A PROPOSED GAS TAX HOLIDAY OVER THE SUMMER MONTHS OR BELIEVE THESE FUNDS SHOULD BE KEPT FOR ROAD CONSTRUCTION AND MAINTENANCE IN NORTH CAROLINA? # % 1. GAS HOLIDAY 224 28 2. KEPT FOR CONSTRUCTION 481 60 98. NOT SURE 95 12 DO YOU SUPPORT OR OPPOSE OIL AND GAS EXPLORATION OFF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA? # % 1. SUPPORT 546 68 2. OPPOSE 163 20 98. NOT SURE 91 11
Between April 2000 and May 10, 2008, the overall number of registered voters in North Carolina increased from 4.93 million to 5.81 million, an increase just shy of 18 percent (17.9 percent). This net increase is the result of new registration and the purging of no longer valid registrations from the voter rolls. In 2000, Democrats made up 51percent of registration statewide, Republicans made up 34 percent, and Unaffiliated and Libertarian voters together comprised 15 percent. By May 2008, those figures had changed to 45 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican, and 21 percent Unaffiliated.
See the Democratic Presidential Primary results. See the Republican Gubernatorial Results, with overly of Perdue Percentages.
Understanding Healthcare and How to Reform It
2008 Conservative Leadership Conference gubernatorial debate.
As North Carolina awaits extradition of suspected murderer Ceasar Laurean from Mexico, voters back home feel the circumstances of his crime should yield two murder charges, not the sole charge he will face under current North Carolina criminal law. The Civitas Institute’s April DecisionMaker poll reveals that 82 percent of North Carolina voters agree that if a woman is murdered while carrying a viable fetus, the perpetrator should receive two murder charges. Twelve percent believe there should only be one murder charge. Seven percent were unsure.
METHODOLOGY: Tel Opinion Research of Alexandria, Va., conducted the poll on April 9-10 with 800 registered voters, who voted in the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general election or were newly registered voters since 2006. The voters were interviewed using live callers. The poll has a margin of error of +-3.7 percent. 1. Affiliation Democrat 51% Republican 37% Unaffiliated 12% 2. Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction or have gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction 34% Wrong track 51% Not sure 15% 3. Which of the following issues or programs needs the most attention from state government: Lower healthcare costs 19% Improve public education 18% Create jobs/improve economy 23% Hold down taxes 12% Improve roads/highways 4% Government corruption 6% Control immigration 15% Not sure 3% 4. If the election for state legislature were held today, would you be voting: Democratic 42% Republican 35% Neither 4% Not sure 19% 5. Thinking about national issues, do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as president? Strongly approve 16% Somewhat approve 24% Somewhat disapprove 15% Strongly disapprove 41% Not sure 5% 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congress is doing? Strongly approve 2% Somewhat approve 19% Somewhat disapprove 30% Strongly disapprove 39% Not sure 10% 7. If you were to vote in the May primary election for president and/or governor, would you be voting in the Democratic or Republican primaries? Democratic 34% Republican 40% Not sure 25% 8. If the Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for: Hillary Clinton 27% Barack Obama 45% Not sure 28% 9. If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and John McCain, for whom would you be voting? Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 50% Not sure 13% 10. If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and John McCain, for whom would you be voting? Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48% Not sure 13% 11. Turning your attention to state issues, if the Democratic primary for governor were held today, would you be voting for: Richard Moore 37% Beverly Perdue 36% Not sure 28% 12. Turning your attention to state issues, if the Republican primary for governor were held today, would you be voting for: Pat McCrory 28% Fred Smith 19% Bob Orr 4% Bill Graham 5% Not sure 44% 13. When you think about the economy, which of the following is your biggest concern: Lack of jobs 23% Food prices 7% High fuel costs 44% High taxes 18% Fear of home foreclosures 4% Not sure 4% 14. To help stimulate the economy, is it more important to: Cut taxes 73% Increase state spending 14% Not sure 13% 15. Do you think the financial outlook for you and your family will be better, worse or about the same one year from now? Better 28% Worse 19% About the same 46% Not sure 6% 16. Do you believe taxes in North Carolina are too high, too low or just about right for the services you receive? Too high 66% Too low 2% About right 29% Not sure 3% 17. This November many North Carolina counties will place a referendum on the ballot increasing the county sales tax by 1/4 cent. Regardless of the proposed use of this tax increase, will you support or oppose it? Support 23% Oppose 69% Not sure 9% 18. A North Carolina county is spending $100,000 of taxpayer dollars to promote a referendum increasing the land transfer tax. Do you support or oppose this type of expenditure? Support 7% Oppose 77% Not sure 16% 19. On the issue of immigration, do you think businesses should be required by law to verify the legal status of anyone they employ? Yes 91% No 5% Not sure 4% 20. Do you support giving law enforcement officers the technology needed to confirm the identity and legal status of a driver who does not possess a valid driver’s license? Yes 91% No 5% Not sure 4% 21. Do you support a mandatory 25-year prison sentence for a person convicted of molesting a child? Yes 83% No 10% Not sure 7% 22. Do you support the death penalty in North Carolina? Yes 60% No 27% Not sure 12% 23. If a woman is carrying a viable fetus and she is murdered, should there be one or two murder charges? One 12% Two 82% Not sure 7% 24. Which of the following is the most important issue facing transportation in North Carolina today: Gas prices 63% Public transportation 11% Road conditions/quality 13% Traffic congestion 11% Not sure 2% 25. Would you support or oppose increasing taxes $150 million a year to create a $2 billion fund for the purpose of building light rail and other mass transit projects in Charlotte and the Triangle? Support 28% Oppose 60% Not sure 12% 26. If a $2 billion transportation bond for bridge repair and road construction were on the November ballot, would you vote for or against it? For 55% Against 34% Not sure 11% 27. Do you think funds used for transportation should be part of the general fund like all other state programs or be kept in a separate fund? Part of general fund 26% Kept in separate fund 56% Not sure 19% 28. Which of the following is the best way to finance new transportation projects in the state: Raise taxes/capital costs 4% Companies pay costs/tolls 21% Change distribution 31% Issue highway bonds 25% Not sure 18% 29. To make government more transparent or open to the public, would you support or oppose each of the following: prohibiting state and local government officials from deleting all e-mails from government computers? Support 51% Oppose 35% Not sure 15% 30. Requiring state and local governments to make budgets readily available and searchable by the public on the Internet? Support 78% Oppose 12% Not sure 9% 31. Requiring state and local governments to place all contracts on Web sites that are accessible to the public? Support 79% Oppose 12% Not sure 9% 32. Age group 18-34 8% 35-44 12% 45-54 17% 55-64 24% 65+ 39% 33. Political philosophy Very liberal 6% Somewhat liberal 12% Somewhat conservative 23% Very conservative 21% Moderate 34% Not sure 3% 34. Regardless of your party registration, do you: Always vote Democrat 16% Vote Dem. more than Rep. 24% Vote Rep. more than Dem. 27% Always vote Republican 10% Both equally/split ticket 19% Not sure 3% 35. Education Less than high school graduate 6% High school graduate 28% 2-yr. college/technical 29% 4-yr. college graduate 24% Post graduate 14% 36. In your current employment status, are you: Self-employed 12% Working for a private company 25% Work for government 10% Spouse (housewife) 9% Retired 42% Unemployed 3% 37. National heritage Caucasian 79% African-American 17% Hispanic 1% Native American 2% Asian 0% Other 2% 38. Would you tell me what is your religious affiliation? Protestant 34% Evangelical Christian 14% Catholic 11% Baptist 28% Jewish 1% Muslim 0% Something else 13% 39. Gender Male 48% Female 52% 40. Geographic area Charlotte 20% Western 13% Piedmont Triad 21% Triangle 21% Northeast 12% Southeast 14% 41. Voting history New 6% One of three 17% Two of three 23% Three of three 54%
We will be rolling out our "Blueprint for North Carolina" Series at the Conservative Leadership Conference. See Education See Transportation See Budget & Taxes See Healthcare See Illegal Immigration