NC Poll: Dole Leads Hagan 45-43

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Statistical Dead Heat for U.S. Senate Race

Raleigh, NC – U.S. Senator Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) and state Senator Kay Hagan (D-Guilford) are in a statistical dead heat according to the latest poll released by the Civitas Institute.

Of the 800 likely general election voters surveyed, 45 percent support Senator Dole while 43 percent support her challenger, Democrat Kay Hagan.  Twelve percent were undecided.

“The national tide against Republican incumbents is definitely hurting Senator Dole right now,” said Francis DeLuca, Executive Director of the Civitas Institute.  “It appears some of the cross-over appeal to Democrats and Unaffiliated voters she enjoyed six years ago is eroding.”

Click here for full results and crosstabs.

The study of 800 registered voters was conducted May 14-17 by Tel Opinion Research of Alexandria, Virginia. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters we interviewed had to have voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general election or were newly registered voters since 2006. The voters were interviewed using live callers.

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95% of the time, results from 800 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-3.7% of the “True Values.”  “True Values” refer to the results obtained if were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general elections or were newly registered voters since 2006.

This article was posted in Press Releases by Civitas Staff on May 23, 2008 at 11:04 AM.

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