RALEIGH — With the 2012 legislative campaigns entering the final months, the Civitas Institute has flash-polled likely voters in NC House District 92 in Mecklenburg County. Republican Charles Jeter, a businessman, faces Democrat Robin Bradford.
The survey of 350 registered voters with a margin of error of plus/minus 5.3 percent was taken August 18 – 20. It showed Jeter with an 18 percentage-point lead over Bradford, 53 percent to 35 percent. Democrats are supporting Bradford 73 percent to 17 percent; Jeter leads among Republican voters, who make up the largest voting bloc in the district, 88 percent to 2 percent. Unaffiliated voters support Jeter by a slender margin, with 44 percent backing him, compared to 42 percent for the Democrat.
At the top of the ballot, Republicans hold leads among district voters. In the presidential race, voters from that area pick Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama, 55 percent to 40 percent. Romney is capturing 97 percent of the district’s Republicans and 43 percent of unaffiliated voters. Romney is pulling 16 percent of the Democratic vote, with that bloc of Mecklenburg County voters breaking 83 percent for Obama.
Republican gubernatorial candidate Pat McCrory leads in statewide polls, and as might be expected, the former Charlotte mayor holds a big lead in the district. He leads Democratic Lt. Governor Walter Dalton 67 percent to 26 percent, with Libertarian Barbara Howe registering 2 percent. In the poll, McCrory’s GOP support tracks closely to Romney’s, with Republicans breaking 94 percent for McCrory, with a third of Democrats indicating they would vote for him. Among independents, McCrory leads Dalton 71 to 19 percent.
By better than 2-to-1, district voters agree that people should be required to show photo identification to cast their ballots. Sixty-nine percent of those polled said voters should be required to present photo ID; 29 percent opposed the requirement.
In the flash poll, 53 percent said the state is headed in the wrong direction, compared to 34 percent saying it’s headed in the right direction. In addition, voters’ opinion on the economy was split, with 23 percent saying things will get worse and 25 percent saying things will get better, while 49 percent said it would stay the same.
Overall, voter intensity in the district was strong among all voters, with 98 percent saying they are certain they will vote. This indicates that neither side will have a problem turning out their voters on Election Day.
Click here for crosstabs.
Information on future polls will be available at Civitas Poll Lunches on Thursday, Aug. 30, in Raleigh, and in September in Wilmington, Charlotte and Raleigh.
About the Poll: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
The Civitas Poll is the only regular live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
More information on the Civitas Institute is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099.