Trump Approval Rating at 51%; Generic Congressional ballot tied
RALEIGH, NC – Today the Civitas Institute released a statewide poll which reveals that if the 2016 presidential election were held again today, President Donald Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton, in North Carolina, by eight points. The exact text of the question is as follows:
If the 2016 Presidential Election were held again in 2018, for whom would you vote:
45% Donald Trump, the Republican
37% Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
5% Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
2% Jill Stein, Green Party
6% Write-in someone else
4% Would not vote
Perhaps equally noteworthy is the increase in President Trump’s approval rating, which has crossed the 50 percent threshold in the Civitas Poll for the first time. The exact text of the question is as follows:
Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President?
51% Total Approve
47% Total Disapprove
2% Don’t Know
“These results are noteworthy because they appear to be contrary to the narrative of an oncoming anti-Trump blue wave,” said Civitas President Donald Bryson. “Either the blue wave momentum is not congealing, or North Carolinians are simply acting contrary to the larger national narrative, even when you consider the generic congressional ballot.”
The Civitas Poll contained a generic ballot test question for Congressional races, with likely voters evenly split between Democrats and Republicans at 41 percent each. The exact text of the question is as follows:
And regardless of how you would vote at the state level, if the election for Congress were being held today, would you be voting for the:
41% Republican candidate
41% Democratic candidate
11% Don’t Know/Undecided/Need More Info
Bryson continued, “Surprisingly, 18-40-year-olds– a reliable group for Democrats in previous years – appear to be breaking for Republicans in the generic ballot test, as well as job approval for the President.”
Crosstabs for these questions can be found here.
This statewide poll surveyed 600 likely voters (35% on cell phones) with a margin of error +/- 4.0%. This survey was taken May 1-3, 2018. A copy of the crosstabs, in their entirety, will be released later today.
Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization that fights to remove barriers to freedom so that all North Carolinians can enjoy a better life.