Skip links

GOP Congressman Holding’s Edge Over Democratic Candidate Gone

Is This Historically Republican District Leaning Left?
September 12, 2018


RALEIGH, N.C. – Today the Civitas Institute released its survey results of North Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District. The poll found Linda Coleman (D), a two-time candidate for lieutenant governor and former member of the North Carolina House of Representatives, with a razor-thin lead over three-term Republican incumbent Congressman George Holding.

Those surveyed were asked, “If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for?”

43%     George Holding (R)
44%     Linda Coleman (D)
2%      Jeff Matemu (L)
10%     Undecided

This district has been a longtime Republican stronghold, only recently being moved from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican” by the Cook Political Report.

”This poll corroborates internal polls released by the Holding and Coleman campaigns, regarding just how close this race is,” said Civitas President Donald Bryson. 

Respondents were also asked if they supported or opposed the federal tax reform law passed in December:

From what you know about it now, do you support or oppose the federal tax reform law passed in December?

41%     Support
36%     Oppose
23%     Not Sure

This support for federal tax reform may correlate with Congressman Holding’s favorability results, which currently sits at 41 percent.

Bryson continued, “It is difficult to say whether or not this race will continue to be close. Coleman and Holding are both ‘above water’ in favorability; however, federal tax reform has healthy support in a district where the economy is a top concern for voters. That could be an advantage for Holding as we inch towards November.”

Methodology: This poll interviewed 538 likely registered voters from North Carolina’s 2ndCongressional District between 9/5/18-9/8/18. It has a margin of error of +/- 4.1% to 4.9%. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. SurveyUSA conducted the poll on behalf of the Civitas Institute.

For questions, or to arrange an interview, please contact Brooke Medina, communications director, at

Civitas has conducted live-caller voting in North Carolina since May 2005, and we are the only public policy organization offering statewide independent, nonpartisan data on a regular basis. Our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.

Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to advancing conservative ideas and shrinking the size of government. Civitas fights to eliminate government barriers to freedom so that North Carolinians can live a better life.

Civitas Institute
Simple Share ButtonsSHARE:
Simple Share Buttons
Civitas Institute
Civitas Logo
Simple Share ButtonsSHARE:
Simple Share Buttons