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Harris Narrows Gap in NC-09

McCready Still Leads by 4 Points
October 8, 2018


RALEIGH, N.C. – In the latest Civitas Poll of North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District, Democrat candidate Dan McCready’s lead over Republican Mark Harris has narrowed. McCready now leads Harris by 4 percent, which is down from a July Civitas Poll that found Harris trailing by 7 points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Mark Harris? Democrat Dan McCready? Or Libertarian Jeff Scott?


41% Mark Harris (R)
45% Dan McCready (D)
3% Jeff Scott (L)
12% Undecided

“Dan McCready has been running a well-funded campaign to appeal to moderate Democrats and Republicans. This strategy, along with the lack of an incumbent, has made this district much more competitive than anyone anticipated in the spring,” said Civitas Institute President Donald Bryson.

Although Congressman Robert Pittenger, a Republican, holds this district’s seat until January 2019, this race has been labeled as a “toss-up” by Cook Political Report and Real Clear Politics.

Likely voters were also asked about the economy. Respondents were more than twice as likely to state that they believed the economy is getting stronger:

47% Getting Stronger
22% Getting Weaker
28% Staying About The Same
2% Not Sure

Bryson continued, “In July McCready enjoyed a 16-point advantage with women in the district, whose top issue was jobs and the economy. However, jobs and the economy remain the top issue among women in the district as the national unemployment rate hit a 49-year low, which bears out the high economic confidence. It is no surprise that McCready’s lead among women has been cut in half to eight points.”

This poll, conducted by SurveyUSA, surveyed 556 registered, likely voters in the North Carolina 9th Congressional District between 10/02/2018–10/04/2018 with a +/- 4.7% margin of error. The research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode.

Poll Highlights

Conducted by SurveyUSA between 10/2-10/4. Margin of error: +/- 4.7%.

For questions, or to arrange an interview, please contact Brooke Medina, communications director, at

Civitas has conducted live-caller voting in North Carolina since May 2005, and we are the only public policy organization offering statewide independent, nonpartisan data on a regular basis. Our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.

Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to advancing conservative ideas and shrinking the size of government. Civitas fights to eliminate government barriers to freedom so that North Carolinians can live a better life.

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