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Trump Leads Clinton in NC — May 2016 poll

May 27, 2016



RALEIGH – Donald Trump has overtaken Hillary Clinton in the latest Civitas poll.

When asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today, 39 percent of North Carolina likely voters said Donald Trump while just 36 percent said former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

And while Clinton continues to lead among women by 11 percentage points (44-33), Trump leads among men by 19 points (46-27).

The text of the question can be found below:

If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between…

4/16    5/16

37%     39%     Donald Trump, the Republican,
49%     36%     Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
8%       … or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian?
10%     14%     Lean/ Undecided

32%     31%     DEFINITELY TRUMP
5%       9%       PROBABLY TRUMP
3%       2%       LEAN TRUMP

42%     30%     DEFINITELY CLINTON
6%       6%       PROBABLY CLINTON
1%       2%       LEAN CLINTON

*          LEAN JOHNSON

6%       9%       HARD UNDECIDED
2%       2%       NAMED OTHER
2%       2%       REFUSED

(Due to rounding, totals may not equal 100.)

The press release on the poll and links to data are as follows:

May 27, 2016
CONTACT: Demi Dowdy (919) 834-2099

Civitas Poll Reveals Views of Candidates, State Issues

Raleigh — A new Civitas poll reveals North Carolina voters’ views on national and state races as well as current events in our state.

The poll surveyed 600 registered, likely voters (30% on cell phones) with a margin of error of +/- 4.00%. This survey was taken May 21-23, 2016.

To view all questions and results, click here.

Crosstabs can be found here.

Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller voting in North Carolina, and we are the only organization offering independent, nonpartisan data on current opinion. In the decade we’ve been conducting them, our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters truly think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.

For questions, or to arrange an interview, please contact Brooke Medina, communications director, at

Civitas has conducted live-caller voting in North Carolina since May 2005, and we are the only public policy organization offering statewide independent, nonpartisan data on a regular basis. Our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.

Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to advancing conservative ideas and shrinking the size of government. Civitas fights to eliminate government barriers to freedom so that North Carolinians can live a better life.

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