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Civitas Poll: Cain Leads Obama in N.C.

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Raleigh, N.C. – A new poll by the Civitas Institute shows Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain leading Democratic incumbent Barack Obama by five percent among North Carolina voters.

Cain is the choice of 46 percent of North Carolina voters if the election for President of the United States was today and the candidates were Herman Cain the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat.  Forty-one percent said they would vote for Obama, and 10 percent said they are undecided.

Cain has the support of 81 percent of Republicans along with 50 percent of unaffiliated voters.  Democratic voters would vote for Obama by a 68 percent to 19 percent margin.

“Just as is happening nationally, we are seeing a swell of support for Herman Cain in North Carolina,” said Civitas Institute President Francis De Luca.

Voters age 18-25 (52 percent) and 56-65 (50 percent) would vote for Obama if the election was today.  Forty-four percent of those age 26-40 and 55 percent of voters age 41-55 would vote for Cain.  In the key 66+ demographic, the margin narrows to 45 percent Cain – 42 percent Obama.  Regionally, Cain garners the most support in Charlotte and the Piedmont Triad, while voters in the Triangle and Northeast are most likely to vote for Obama.

“To borrow a pun that is going around, this seems to be one HermanCain that Carolinians would not mind blowing into the state,” added De Luca.

The Civitas Poll is the only regular live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina.  For more information on Civitas polling see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.

Full Text of Question:

“If the election for President of the United States was being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: Herman Cain the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat?”

Total Cain – 46%

Total Obama – 41%

Definitely Cain – 35%

Probably Cain – 7%

Lean Cain – 4%

Undecided – 10%

Lean Obama – 1%

Probably Obama – 4%

Definitely Obama – 37%

Refused – 3%

For the full results and crosstabs, click here.

This poll of 600 likely 2012 general election voters in North Carolina was conducted October 17-18 2011 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ.  All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of probable 2012 general election voters in North Carolina.  For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in 2006 or 2008 or be newly registered to vote since November 5, 2008. (November 5 is the day after the election)

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in the 2006 or 2008 general elections or is newly registered since November 5, 2008.

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This article was posted in Press Releases by Katie Trout on October 20, 2011 at 1:53 PM.

© 2011 The Civitas Institute. Visit us on the web at www.nccivitas.org.
This article can be found at http://www.nccivitas.org/2011/civitas-poll-cain-leads-obama-in-n-c/

Comments on this article

  • 1

    Mr.Mac…
    Mr.Mac... Oct 21, 2011 at 9:14

    Yeah right

    I have twenty acres and a mule for you!!!

    Obama 2012

  • 2

    Jean Bystry
    Jean Bystry Oct 21, 2011 at 9:17

    You can add one more for Herman Cain. I wasn’t polled but he has my vote!

  • 3

    Dan
    Dan Oct 21, 2011 at 13:11

    I’ll add another one to Cain, so 2/3 of the fist comments give Cain a 66% lead.

  • 4

    EricBrodin
    EricBrodin Oct 21, 2011 at 13:14

    We learned our lesson and we’re sorry.

    CAIN 2012!!!

  • 5

    Jason
    Jason Oct 21, 2011 at 13:24

    All onboard the Cain Train in 2012!!

  • 6

    joeybiten
    joeybiten Oct 21, 2011 at 13:26

    Mr. Cain even has my vote.

  • 7

    David
    David Oct 21, 2011 at 13:26

    Herman Cain has proved himself to be a superior thinker and candidate to anyone else out there. He has better ideas and he has actually been successful in every venture he has ever tried. This country would be insane to vote again for the agitator in chief. Herman Cain loves this country and he has my vote and my financial support will be forthcoming!

  • 8

    Joe
    Joe Oct 21, 2011 at 13:31

    A Republican beats a Democrat in NC, this is news? The 2008 Obama victory in NC & VA was a fluke and a close fluke at that. It will not happen again in 2012.

  • 9

    Just the Fax
    Just the Fax Oct 21, 2011 at 13:32

    “I have twenty acres and a mule for you!!!”

    Mr. Mac, don’t you mean that you have twenty acres and a jackass?

  • 10

    TxSon
    TxSon Oct 21, 2011 at 13:32

    The more I hear Cain, the more I like him. He may need a little political polish (maybe) but I like the straight talk and the #1 best move to get this economy moving again .. get rid of the current tax code!

  • 11

    ObamaLied
    ObamaLied Oct 21, 2011 at 13:40

    37% are “definitely” going to vote for Obama? Are you kidding? Unbelievable.

  • 12

    Kicker
    Kicker Oct 21, 2011 at 13:40

    How many times do we have to be fooled by a smooth-talking, promise-you-anything, politician before we realize that we don’t need rhetoric and beauty? We need someone who knows how to get the job done, and that is Cain.

    I could care less than he sometimes stammers a bit and looks a little worn. His daddy had him doing more before breakfast than Obama has done in his entire life.

    And I, for one, would like to have someone in the White House I could respect.

  • 13

    RobinNJ
    RobinNJ Oct 21, 2011 at 13:43

    Cain for me too. I will say this, Cain is the first to really motivate me to donating to his campaign, the first EVER that I have felt strongly about. My only dilemma is that I want to be sure he gets the nomination. My economy is fine, but I can’t afford to just throw it away…. I am hoping he pulls through and gets the Nom, so I can donate to his campaign.

  • 14

    Nativeson
    Nativeson Oct 21, 2011 at 13:47

    Enough of the BS!!! I’m with Cain in 2012…Obama is a liar, cheater and a disgrace to this country. Go Away O.. And take mikki with you!!

  • 15

    Melvin
    Melvin Oct 21, 2011 at 13:48

    Establishment Republican Elitist of Romney and Perry are bad Juju, don’t fall for their line of B.S.

  • 16

    Tracy Starrett
    Tracy Starrett Oct 21, 2011 at 13:50

    Cain, Yes!

  • 17

    Bryan
    Bryan Oct 21, 2011 at 13:53

    Cain is da man!!!
    All business and no politician.
    “This country needs to learn how to take a joke.”
    Amen brother…
    Sadly the joke is and has been Obama.

    Need the hurri-Cane to blow through the Washing-ton-of-BS!

  • 18

    WNCRPH
    WNCRPH Oct 21, 2011 at 13:54

    Hey what about us here in the mountains–We love Cain too–Raising “Cain” hillbilly style

  • 19

    Mark
    Mark Oct 21, 2011 at 14:05

    Cain has my vote for sure!
    Anyone who would still support Barry at this point either hasn’t been paying attention, or is delusional.

  • 20

    Bryan
    Bryan Oct 21, 2011 at 14:06

    You know what you NEVER hear the media talk about?

    Mr. Cain’s background, education and business experience.

    Background
    He was raised by up by a hard working mother and father.
    “Herman Cain was born in Memphis, Tennessee, to Lenora Cain , a cleaning woman, and Luther Cain, Jr., who was raised on a farm and worked as a barber and janitor, as well as a chauffeur”

    Education:
    Bachelor of Science degree in mathematics.
    Masters degree in computer science from Purdue.
    (Plus honorary degrees way too many to mention)

    Business Experience

    He managed 400 stores Burger King in the Philadelphia area.
    Under Cain’s leadership in three years his region went from the least profitable to the most profitable.

    President and CEO of Godfather’s Pizza
    Which under his leadership in a 14-month period went from being unprofitable to profitable.

    This country has been crying out for a leader!
    CAIN IS THAT MAN.

  • 21

    mark l.
    mark l. Oct 21, 2011 at 14:07

    twenty acres and a mule…how dated.

    the modern day obama voter believes that he will buy their house and give them free gas.

    don’t make me post the youtube vids.

  • 22

    gitmogrunt
    gitmogrunt Oct 21, 2011 at 14:09

    Hey you NC Libtards put down the pipe and listen up:
    You proved you weren’t Racists when you voted for Obama,
    Now prove you have a brain and vote for Cain!

  • 23

    comment
    comment Oct 21, 2011 at 14:11

    Yes We Cain!

  • 24

    angler92067
    angler92067 Oct 21, 2011 at 14:23

    Mr. Cain has a worrisome lack of understanding of world events and foreign policy. However, I’ll take that in someone who is honest, clear-thinking and has a proven track record of success in his background. I am willing to support him if he shifts away from a ‘book signing tour’ strategy, to one that is focused on fund-raising and the critical early states. A Republican president from Wall street who supported mandates on healthcare in MA and does not understand the depth of the crisis in this country will not work for me. Better to have divided government with Obama unable to do anything.

  • 25

    HiHeels
    HiHeels Oct 21, 2011 at 14:30

    Herman Cain to end an error 1/20/13

  • 26

    B.C. Colbath
    B.C. Colbath Oct 21, 2011 at 14:34

    Herman Cain is a true WINNER. Will remove the sinners from white house bring back peace, security and jobs back to America.

  • 27

    John K
    John K Oct 21, 2011 at 14:36

    Mr. Cain is a true black American. And more importantly, a true american patriot. Not this fake flake we have in the oval office now.

  • 28

    Stan DAMAN Buie
    Stan DAMAN Buie Oct 21, 2011 at 14:42

    So Art Pope’s Civitas Institute right wing think tank says Herman Cain leads. Uh huh, yeah right. Guess they polled Civitas Institute members.

  • 29

    M David
    M David Oct 21, 2011 at 14:50

    I’ve had my Cain bumper sticker since Jan and have not heard any other candidate that comes close to changing my mind.

    Honkies 4 Cain 2012!!

  • 30

    Bob Bobson
    Bob Bobson Oct 21, 2011 at 15:14

    “To borrow a pun that is going around, this seems to be one HermanCain that Carolinians would not mind blowing into the state,” added De Luca.

    Or to rephrase a popular song:
    Here I am, rock you like a Herman Cain!

  • 31

    Harold
    Harold Oct 21, 2011 at 15:17

    Cain 2012!

    Sorry, Barry, but it’s over.

  • 32

    Ryk
    Ryk Oct 21, 2011 at 15:22

    I’m unemployed and I sent H.Cain $25 and proud of it.

  • 33

    Kevin
    Kevin Oct 21, 2011 at 15:31

    I do computer work on the side and everything I make from my “Liberal” clients I send to Herman Cain! CAIN 2012!

  • 34

    Glenn Koons, LB, Ca.
    Glenn Koons, LB, Ca. Oct 21, 2011 at 15:38

    Hopefully NC will repent across the board for their inane voting in 2008 and put a person in to the Presidency who actually loves America, will use free enterprise again to build our wealth and security and will respect our military and NOT use class and race warfare to bring some democratic capitalism back in vogue. I hope it is Newt and not Herman, but I will support Herman too because allowing our Socialist in Chief to win again, means the end of capitalism, our border security, our huge domestic energy reserves and resources, and our health system mandated by a Fascist Obamacare. Thanks NC for your perceptions now. I am living in the soviet republic of Ca , and frankly am doomed by leftist dunces and a Dem govt. apparatus.

  • 35

    NCMike
    NCMike Oct 21, 2011 at 15:41

    You can add the votes of my wife, my nephew, my niece and myself, to the North Carolina voters who favor Herman Cain, without a moment’s hesitation.

  • 36

    tinaf
    tinaf Oct 21, 2011 at 15:47

    Another Raleigh mom for Cain! GO CAIN!

  • 37

    jason
    jason Oct 21, 2011 at 15:50

    I live in Western NC, near Ashevile and I can tell you that I know a lot of people here regret voting for Obama. He only “won” (by cheating) this state by 3/10 of a percent. There is NO WAY that he will carry NC next year. Even with fraud, there is NO WAY.

  • 38

    comprof
    comprof Oct 21, 2011 at 15:57

    Scary thing is that our unionized, self-centered teachers have brain washed our children to the point the 50+ percent of the 10-25 year old still support this arrogant, lying Marxist. That is really scary.

  • 39

    Rich
    Rich Oct 21, 2011 at 16:02

    North Carolina is Raising Cain !!!

  • 40

    buckeye
    buckeye Oct 21, 2011 at 16:11

    Cain is the man for me and my family. The libs in NC are getting beat left and right. The November election will be all Republican and 2012 will be the gigantic big big win!

  • 41

    Eh2Zed
    Eh2Zed Oct 21, 2011 at 16:19

    Just think America, next year may be an historic event. The US, for the first time in it’s history, could elect the first Qualified Black American to be President of the United States.

  • 42

    tom
    tom Oct 21, 2011 at 16:21

    Herman Cain is truly a breath of fresh air! He is one of us and has the common sense that is totally missing in DC

    I just hope that the USA can hold on until he is elected, I’m very concerns about what Obama might try to do out of desperation, his “Occupy” followers could turn more violent which I believe is the plan, they are looking to create complete Chaos and Obama will work with them to do so, just like he did in the middle east, perhaps enough to “postpone” the elections?

  • 43

    Deus Vult
    Deus Vult Oct 21, 2011 at 16:24

    I add MY vote to “ALL” the others here commenting that were not polled yet back Herman Cain!!!
    I would sooner castrate myself, turn gay and convert to islam than vote for “resident” (thats NOT a typo!) obama!
    We Can SAVE the REPUBLIC in 2012!
    NO MORE “resident” obama, mooochelle “antionette” and the cabal of marxist czars!!!
    GOD BLESS AMERICA! GOD “SAVE” THE REPUBLIC!

  • 44

    Die_Liberal_DIE!!!
    Die_Liberal_DIE!!! Oct 21, 2011 at 16:35

    Beat the Marxist OBAMA with a CAIN!!!

  • 45

    Maurita morrill
    Maurita morrill Oct 21, 2011 at 16:43

    As a senior citizen we are sick of professional politicians.We need a plain spoken business man like Herman Cain. Our wonderful country is going down the drain .God help our grandchildren. God bless America and God bless Herman Cain.We will work for you? The Morrills

  • 46

    Bill Maness
    Bill Maness Oct 21, 2011 at 16:52

    “It’s time to get on the Herman Cain Train” “All- Aboard”

  • 47

    Myze
    Myze Oct 21, 2011 at 17:03

    I’m in NC and I’m for Cain and was not polled!

  • 48

    Buddy
    Buddy Oct 21, 2011 at 17:39

    Herman Cain, You bet!

  • 49

    The Carrier
    The Carrier Oct 21, 2011 at 17:40

    Why should more have to be said, read the comments and feel the pride in our country swell!!!!!!!!!!

  • 50

    Dana
    Dana Oct 21, 2011 at 17:42

    Obama and his whole administration are getting on my last nerve.

  • 51

    frank54
    frank54 Oct 21, 2011 at 18:44

    Herman Cain has got my vote completely, and I live in Liberal New Jersey, the man speaks well and makes a whole hell alot of sence,……Get Rid Of Obama,……I only wish It Was This Time Next Year……Rasing Cain 2012

  • 52

    robert smith
    robert smith Oct 21, 2011 at 19:08

    Mister Mac says:

    “I have twenty acres and a mule for you!!!”

    “Obama 2012″

    Mister Mac. With Obama you got neither the mule or the 20 acres.

    You got the shaft along with all the rest of us.

  • 53

    Stephanie Hazel
    Stephanie Hazel Oct 21, 2011 at 19:19

    Cain In 2012; No Question About It!!

  • 54

    Emory
    Emory Nov 02, 2011 at 7:31

    I vote neither! Why? Neither want to shrink the size of the gov’t. Cain’s 9-9-9 re-distributes taxes onto the lower and middle class and DOES NOT address spending! Where is he different on other issues? Cain’s foreign policy (costing us $1-$1.5 trillion) philosophy is: “I will confer with experts.” – meaning more of the same. So, if his one big proposal is revenue neutral – the next question is: Does he have a plan to cut spending or raise taxes? Simple, if he has no real plan to cut, then raising taxes will occur. So, while I agree we need a more simplistic tax code — why not look at “Restore America” plan, 0% income tax, dissolve the IRS, and restore some sanity to Washington, a real plan to BALANCE the budget by reducing spending! Ron Paul 2012.

  • 55

    blackyb
    blackyb Nov 07, 2011 at 22:16

    Vote out Obama and vote in Cain. These nasty people are trying to throw the election by gossip and they have done a lot worse than Cain (if he did do anything.) Give Cain the chance he needs to win out over this bunch of gossip mongers. If it matters, I am white and am going to vote for Cain. He should watch his step about people for they will go to any lengths to slander him and keep this country under the control of those liberal hedonists who are trying to destroy this Republic.

  • 56

    blackyb
    blackyb Nov 07, 2011 at 22:18

    Herman Cain should sue that blond beeytch. She had no business of bringing this out now. If she had a reason to do something, it should have been done and no money should have changed hands. She is out for herself and this is being used to throw the election even before it starts. Do not let this happen.

  • 57

    blackyb
    blackyb Nov 07, 2011 at 22:20

    Anyone who would go to the lengths of keeping Herman Cain from getting the Republican spot will not get my vote. They are cut throats and out of the same piece of cloth as those leftist sedetion mongers.

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