Raleigh, N.C. – A new poll by the Civitas Institute shows Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain leading Democratic incumbent Barack Obama by five percent among North Carolina voters.
Cain is the choice of 46 percent of North Carolina voters if the election for President of the United States was today and the candidates were Herman Cain the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat. Forty-one percent said they would vote for Obama, and 10 percent said they are undecided.
Cain has the support of 81 percent of Republicans along with 50 percent of unaffiliated voters. Democratic voters would vote for Obama by a 68 percent to 19 percent margin.
“Just as is happening nationally, we are seeing a swell of support for Herman Cain in North Carolina,” said Civitas Institute President Francis De Luca.
Voters age 18-25 (52 percent) and 56-65 (50 percent) would vote for Obama if the election was today. Forty-four percent of those age 26-40 and 55 percent of voters age 41-55 would vote for Cain. In the key 66+ demographic, the margin narrows to 45 percent Cain – 42 percent Obama. Regionally, Cain garners the most support in Charlotte and the Piedmont Triad, while voters in the Triangle and Northeast are most likely to vote for Obama.
“To borrow a pun that is going around, this seems to be one HermanCain that Carolinians would not mind blowing into the state,” added De Luca.
The Civitas Poll is the only regular live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina. For more information on Civitas polling see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
Full Text of Question:
“If the election for President of the United States was being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: Herman Cain the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat?”
Total Cain – 46%
Total Obama – 41%
Definitely Cain – 35%
Probably Cain – 7%
Lean Cain – 4%
Undecided – 10%
Lean Obama – 1%
Probably Obama – 4%
Definitely Obama – 37%
Refused – 3%
For the full results and crosstabs, click here.
This poll of 600 likely 2012 general election voters in North Carolina was conducted October 17-18 2011 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of probable 2012 general election voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in 2006 or 2008 or be newly registered to vote since November 5, 2008. (November 5 is the day after the election)
The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in the 2006 or 2008 general elections or is newly registered since November 5, 2008.