McCrory Increases Lead in GOP Primary
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE – APRIL 11, 2008
CONTACT: FRANCIS DELUCA (919) 834-2099/(919) 618-3484
Raleigh, N.C. – The Civitas Institute’s April DecisionMaker shows State Treasurer Richard Moore leading Lt. Gov. Beverly Perdue 37-36 in the Democratic primary for Governor. The lead is within the margin of error in the poll. 28 percent of those polled were undecided.
In the Republican primary for Governor, Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory is leading Sen. Fred Smith 28-19 with Bill Graham at 5 percent and Bob Orr at 4 percent. 44 percent of those responding answered not sure.
“We are definitely seeing the effects of TV advertising and it appears Richard Moore has made the Democratic primary a competitive race and Pat McCrory’s advertising is starting to be reflected by increased poll numbers across the state.” stated Civitas Institute Executive Director Francis DeLuca.
The numbers for Moore reflect a turnaround from the February 2008 Civitas poll which had Perdue leading 28-23. On the Republican side McCrory increased his 18-17 lead over Smith while Graham and Orr numbers were exactly the same.
“With the large numbers of undecided and the unknown impact of the increased attention to the presidential race in North Carolina, both of these contests are still wide open” DeLuca added.
The study of 800 registered voters was conducted April 9-10 by TelOpinion Research of Arlington, Virginia. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters we interviewed had to have voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general election or were newly registered voters since 2006. The voters were interviewed using live callers.
The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95% of the time, results from 800 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-3.7% of the “True Values.” “True Values” refer to the results obtained if were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in either the 2002, 2004 or 2006 general elections or were newly registered voters since 2006.
See attached crosstabs and questions below.