Civitas Flash Poll: Harrington leads 2:1 in Race to Replace Retiring Democrat

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Raleigh, N.C. – Republican candidate Kathy Harrington leads 2:1 over Democratic opponent Annette Carter in the race for North Carolina’s 43rd state Senate District according to a new SurveyUSA poll released today by the Civitas Institute.

According to the poll of 350 registered voters in that district, 56 percent said that if the election for state senator were held today they would vote for Republican Kathy Harrington who is campaigning to replace retiring Democratic Sen. David Hoyle.  Twenty-eight percent said they would vote for Carter, and 16 percent said they were undecided.

Unity among the Republican Party appears to be a significant factor in Harrington’s lead as 86 percent of Republicans said they will vote for her.  Unaffiliated voters are supporting Harrington by a 43-24 margin.

“It appears that there aren’t any lingering deep divisions coming out of the competitive Republican primary in SD 43,” said Civitas Institute President Francis De Luca. “Harrington has been able to quickly rally her base and is gaining significant support of unaffiliated voters in this heavily Republican district.”

The Civitas Institute has the district rated as an R+10 on the Civitas North Carolina Partisan Index – an index that rates the relative partisan voting habits of individual legislative districts. For more on the NCPI, click here.

The proposed Garden Parkway toll road continues to be a contentious election issue in Gaston County.  Voters overwhelmingly oppose the construction of the Garden Parkway as a toll road 64 percent to 22 percent. Further analysis reveals 66 percent of Republicans and 67 percent of Democrats oppose construction of the toll road.  Harrington, an outspoken opponent of the project, looks to be using voter sentiment to her advantage.

“It has often been speculated that once Sen. Hoyle (D) retired, this district would flip to Republican-held, and that seems to be the case,” added De Luca.

For full results and crosstabs from the poll, click here.

The survey of 350 registered voters was taken May 5-6 by SurveyUSA on behalf of the Civitas Institute using the Interactive Voice Response (IVR) method.  It carries a margin of error of 4.9%.

This article was posted in Press Releases by Katie Trout on May 11, 2010 at 11:51 AM.

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