Civitas Poll: Romney Leads Obama in N.C.

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Jan. 26, 2012
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099

Raleigh, N.C. – A new Civitas Institute poll shows Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney leading Democratic incumbent Barack Obama by nine percent among North Carolina voters.

Romney is the choice of 48 percent of North Carolina voters if the election for President of the United States was being held today and the candidates were Mitt Romney the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat.  Thirty-nine percent said they would vote for Obama, and 11 percent said they are undecided. Romney has the support of 80 percent of Republicans along with 55 percent of unaffiliated voters.  Democratic voters would vote for Obama by a 65 percent to 22 percent margin.

“While the GOP primary campaign is still ongoing, Mitt Romney continues to register strong  numbers against President Obama,” said Civitas Institute President Francis De Luca.

Romney’s January numbers are very close to the 50-39 percent margin over Obama he registered in September 2011 (Results here) .  Romney garners the most support in Charlotte and Western NC, while voters in the Piedmont and the Northeast are most likely to vote for Obama.

In the key unaffiliated voter demographic, Romney has a 28 percent margin, a slight increase from the 25 percent margin he had in September.

The Civitas Poll is the only regular live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina.  For more information on Civitas polling see

Full Text of Question:

“If the election for President of the United States was being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: Mitt Romney the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat?”

Total Romney – 48%

Total Obama – 39%

Definitely Romney – 36%

Probably Romney – 8%

Lean Romney – 4%

Undecided – 11%

Lean Obama – 1%

Probably Obama – 3%

Definitely Obama – 35%

Refused – 2%

For the results and other information, click here.

This poll of 300 likely 2012 general election voters in North Carolina was conducted January 9-11, 2012 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ.  All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of probable 2012 general election voters in North Carolina.  For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in 2006 or 2008 or be newly registered to vote since November 5, 2008. (November 5 is the day after the election)

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 300 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in the 2006 or 2008 general elections or is newly registered since November 5, 2008.



About Francis De Luca

Francis X. De Luca is president of the Civitas Institute. He has a varied background that includes political consulting, owning a small business, working at all levels of government and serving on active and reserve duty for 30 years with the United States Marine Corps, where he retired with the rank of Colonel. He was recalled to active duty after 9/11 and served over 4 years on active duty including deploying as part of Task Force Tarawa for Operation Iraqi Freedom. He also flew combat missions in the first Persian Gulf War. Francis received his undergraduate degree in Political Science from the University of North Carolina – Wilmington, and his Master’s Degree in Political Science from the University of West Florida. He is married and has two daughters. His management philosophy for how a policy organization measures its impact is best summarized by a quote from Mahatma Gandhi: “First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win”.
This article was posted in Press Releases by Francis De Luca on January 25, 2012 at 4:06 PM.

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Comments on this article

  • 1

    doug watson
    doug watson Feb 21, 2012 at 11:20

    But what if the GOP nominee were Santorum, which is becoming increasingly more likely? I’ve seen a recent poll where Santorum garners more support from Independents than Romney, and Santorum has lower net negatives than Romney. Conservatives and Independents are looking for an alternative to Romney and Obama. It looks like that alternative may be Rick Santorum.

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