March 2012 Poll Results

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  1. And on a scale of one to ten, how likely do you think you are to vote in North Carolina’s May 8th Primary? One means you are not at all likely to vote, five means there is a 50-50 chance you will vote, and ten means it is certain that you will vote in the Primary on May 8th. Remember you can use any number between one and ten.
    • 72.2%
      10
    • 4.7%
      9
    • 3%
      8
    • 3.2%
      7
    • 1.7%
      6
    • 7.2%
      5
    • 0.7%
      4
    • 0.7%
      3
    • 0.5%
      2
    • 5.3%
      1
    • 1%
      Don't Know/Refused
  2. And on a scale of one to ten, how likely do you think you are to vote in the November 2012 General election? One means you are not at all likely to vote, five means there is a 50-50 chance you will vote, and ten means it is certain that you will vote in the election in November. Remember you can use any number between one and ten.
    • 92.2%
      10
    • 1.3%
      9
    • 1.8%
      8
    • 0.5%
      7
    • 0.7%
      6
    • 2.2%
      5
    • 0.8%
      1
    • 0.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  3. And if the election for State Legislature were held today, would you be voting for the:
    • 42.1%
      Republican candidate
    • 34.3%
      Democratic candidate
    • 3.7%
      Neither
    • 20%
      Don't Know/Refused
  4. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President of the United States?
    • 27.8%
      Strongly Approve
    • 18.5%
      Somewhat Approve
    • 11.5%
      Somewhat Disapprove
    • 37.6%
      Strongly Disapprove
    • 4.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  5. If the election for Governor were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: Pat McCrory, the Republican or Walter Dalton, the Democrat?
    • 38%
      Definitely McCrory
    • 10.9%
      Probably McCrory
    • 18.7%
      Undecided
    • 2.4%
      Lean Dalton
    • 8.3%
      Probably Dalton
    • 19.6%
      Definitely Dalton
    • 2%
      Don't Know/Refused
  6. If the election for Governor were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: Pat McCrory, the Republican or Bob Etheridge, the Democrat?
    • 39.2%
      Definitely McCrory
    • 10.4%
      Probably McCrory
    • 16%
      Undecided
    • 2.6%
      Lean Etheridge
    • 8.4%
      Probably Etheridge
    • 21.7%
      Definitely Etheridge
    • 1.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  7. If the election for Governor were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: Pat McCrory, the Republican or Bill Faison, the Democrat?
    • 38.6%
      Definitely McCrory
    • 11%
      Probably McCrory
    • 3.5%
      Lean McCrory
    • 19%
      Undecided
    • 1.8%
      Lean Faison
    • 6.3%
      Probably Faison
    • 18.1%
      Definitely Faison
    • 1.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  8. Do you support or oppose a constitutional amendment that says: "Marriage between one man and one woman is the only domestic legal union that shall be valid or recognized in this State?"
    • 53.7%
      Strongly Support
    • 7%
      Somewhat Support
    • 7.2%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 25.8%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 6.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  9. Thinking about the economy, in your opinion, how much longer do you think it will take for the economy to improve and the current recession to end? If you think the current recession has ended just say so.
    • 0.8%
      Under 6 months
    • 6.3%
      Between 6 months and a year
    • 22.6%
      Between 1 and 2 years
    • 54.9%
      Over 2 years
    • 5.3%
      Recession has ended
    • 10%
      Don't Know/Refused
  10. Should the North Carolina state government be allowed to issue new debt without voter approval?
    • 9.8%
      Yes
    • 83%
      No
    • 7.2%
      Don't Know/Refused
  11. To the best of your recollection, which political party is in charge of the North Carolina House and Senate?
    • 50.6%
      The Republican Party
    • 19.8%
      The Democratic Party
    • 14.6%
      It is split
    • 0.5%
      Other
    • 14.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  12. Do you think health insurance plans for all employees should have to cover the full cost of birth control for their female employees, or should employers be allowed to opt out of covering that based on religious or moral objections?
    • 41.3%
      Insurance plans should cover full cost
    • 50.4%
      Employers should be allowed to opt out
    • 1%
      Other
    • 7.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  13. Of the following, which do you think is most likely to happen when thinking about Obamacare’s constitutionality being upheld...
    • 22.5%
      Obamacare's constitutionality will be completely upheld
    • 25.5%
      The individual mandate will fail, but the rest of it will be upheld
    • 33.8%
      Obamacare will be declared unconstitutional
    • 0.7%
      Other
    • 17.6%
      Don't Know/Refused
  14. If the court allows Obamacare to be implemented in full, do you think it will eventually lead to a single payer system, where the government is the only health provider, like in Canada?
    • 48.4%
      Yes
    • 37.1%
      No
    • 14.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  15. As you may know, Obamacare includes a provision that will require all Americans who do not have health insurance to purchase it. If they choose to not get health insurance they will incur a penalty. Do you support or oppose that provision?
    • 16.8%
      Strongly Support
    • 11.8%
      Somewhat Support
    • 13.8%
      Somewhat Oppose
    • 50.9%
      Strongly Oppose
    • 6%
      Don't Know/No Opinion
    • 0.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  16. Do you think the United States government should provide “free” healthcare?
    • 31.9%
      Yes
    • 60.7%
      No
    • 7.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  17. Do you think your family will be better off or worse off under the health reform law?
    • 30.9%
      Better off
    • 44.6%
      Worse off
    • 13.1%
      About the same
    • 11.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  18. To the extent possible, do you think decisions about an individual's healthcare and how they pay for healthcare, should be determined by...
    • 69.2%
      The individual
    • 9.5%
      The state level
    • 14.1%
      The federal level
    • 7.2%
      Don't Know/Refused
  19. With regards to Medicaid and your overall understanding of the program, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the program?
    • 20.3%
      Very Favorable
    • 36.1%
      Somewhat Favorable
    • 13.1%
      Somewhat Unfavorable
    • 16.1%
      Very Unfavorable
    • 14.3%
      Don't Know/Refused
  20. With regards to Medicare and your overall understanding of the program, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the program?
    • 33.3%
      Very Favorable
    • 37.4%
      Somewhat Favorable
    • 10.5%
      Somewhat Unfavorable
    • 10.1%
      Very Unfavorable
    • 8.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  21. Which party do you believe could handle health care reform better?
    • 34.9%
      The Republican Party
    • 33.9%
      The Democratic Party
    • 3.8%
      Both
    • 17.6%
      Neither
    • 9.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  22. And when voting for our next president, how important is their view on healthcare reform to your overall decision to vote for them?
    • 54.7%
      Very important
    • 34.4%
      Somewhat important
    • 6.2%
      Not very important
    • 3%
      Not at all important
    • 1.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  23. Of the current major party candidates for president, whom do you trust most to make the right decisions about the future of health care?
    • 37.1%
      Barack Obama
    • 12%
      Mitt Romney
    • 14%
      Rick Santorum
    • 7.7%
      Newt Gingrich
    • 6.3%
      Ron Paul
    • 15.3%
      None of them
    • 7.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  24. State legislators have offered legislation to create a heath benefit exchange as required by the federal health care legislation also known as "Obamacare." Do you think legislators should act now or wait until the constitutionality of the federal health law has been determined before creating and spending money on a state level health benefits exchange?
    • 24%
      Act now
    • 63.9%
      Wait
    • 12.1%
      Don't Know/Refused
  25. In your opinion which of the following statements better characterizes the current debate over "contraception" that is going on in national politics?
    • 31.6%
      According to the Democrats, this issue is about the Republican war on women and denying women access to health care, contraception and ultimately abortion.
    • 46.3%
      According to Republicans, this issue is about the first amendment and freedom of religion - that you can't require religiously affiliated groups to go against their teachings by making them provide birth control and abortion inducing drugs.
    • 5.3%
      Other
    • 16.8%
      Don't Know/Refused
  26. How much attention do you pay to issues involving K-12 education?
    • 37.3%
      A great deal of attention
    • 38.6%
      A moderate amount of attention
    • 15.3%
      Not much attention
    • 6.3%
      None
    • 2.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  27. And how would you rate North Carolina's public school system?
    • 4.5%
      Excellent
    • 36.8%
      Good
    • 36.3%
      Only fair
    • 15%
      Poor
    • 7.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  28. If it were your decision and you could select any type of school, what type of school would you select in order to obtain the best education for your child?
    • 35.4%
      Public School
    • 31.8%
      Private School
    • 7%
      Home School
    • 16%
      Charter School
    • 0.5%
      Virtual School
    • 0.8%
      Other
    • 8.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  29. In what year were you born?
    • 2.3%
      18-25
    • 10%
      26-40
    • 28.5%
      41-55
    • 20.6%
      56-65
    • 29%
      66+
    • 9.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  30. In terms of your current employment status, would you say you…
    • 11.1%
      Are self-employed
    • 26.5%
      Work for a private company
    • 10%
      Work for Government
    • 5.2%
      Are a Spouse (homemaker)
    • 36.1%
      Are Retired
    • 6.7%
      Are Unemployed
    • 4.5%
      Don't Know/Refused
  31. If you were to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political beliefs?
    • 7%
      Very Liberal
    • 11.3%
      Somewhat Liberal
    • 32.3%
      Moderate
    • 21%
      Somewhat Conservative
    • 22.8%
      Very Conservative
    • 5.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  32. Which category best describes your race or ethnicity?
    • 79.4%
      White or Caucasian
    • 15.9%
      African-American
    • 0.3%
      Hispanic or Latino
    • 1.2%
      Asian/Pacific Islander
    • 1.5%
      Other
    • 1.7%
      Don't Know/Refused
  33. Gender
    • 46.8%
      Men
    • 53.2%
      Women
  34. Geographic Area
    • 20.1%
      Charlotte
    • 14.5%
      Western
    • 18.1%
      Piedmont Triad
    • 20.6%
      Triangle
    • 11.6%
      Northeast
    • 15%
      Southeast
  35. Party registration
    • 34.9%
      Republican
    • 43.1%
      Democrat
    • 22%
      Independent/Other

This article was posted in Poll Results by Civitas Staff on April 24, 2012 at 11:00 AM.

© 2011 The Civitas Institute. Visit us on the web at www.nccivitas.org.
This article can be found at https://www.nccivitas.org/2012/march-2012-poll-results/

Comments on this article

  • 1

    Karen
    Karen Apr 25, 2012 at 8:46

    I am frequently astounded at the disconnect voters or likely voters in this state seem to have. A case in point is the majority oppose obamacare, especially the individual mandate, according to the poll.

    The majority believe healthcare decisions should be up to the individual, but by a small margin still favor Democrats and by a wider margin favor Obama to handle healthcare reform? How can anyone not understand that Obamacare is the signature bill the President pushed and that the Democrats rammed down our throats? Hey, that’s why it’s called Obamacare.

    Not a single Republican voted for Obamacare. Yet voters / likely voters in this state are against Obamacare, but say they are still likely to vote for Obama and Democrats. Call me crazy, but I don’t get it!!!!

  • 2

    Ben McCoy
    Ben McCoy Apr 25, 2012 at 8:54

    People are so incredibly stupid. The entire poll leans against support for the individual mandate, urges restraint on healthcare decisions and spending, and prognosticates a single-payer system – and yet when people are asked who they think would make decisions about healthcare in their best interest, it’s Obama by a long shot. What is the official analysis on this reasoning? My analysis is summed up in the very first sentence of my post here…

  • 3

    Jane
    Jane Apr 25, 2012 at 8:56

    I agree with Karen’s comments, but I’ve come to realize that the only rhyme or reason behind the disconnect, is that most Democrats do not pay attention to what’s going on. They vote what they think is a Democrat idealogy, and “trust the government” to do the right thing—a dangerous idea. I have some intelligent Democrats in my family, with advanced degrees, but they will not discuss politics with me because they don’t know what’s going on, and therefore can’t put up a good logical arguement to support their beliefs. As a well informed Republican, it’s hard to understand that type of belief system, it’s very frustrating.

  • 4

    Michelle
    Michelle Apr 25, 2012 at 9:13

    Karen & Ben…you both summarized my initial thoughts perfectly. All I can say is “ditto” for me! I just don’t understand the disconnect…Is this party over principle? Race over policy? Style over substance? WHY do people who oppose the agenda of BHO continue to support him? He has been a huge failure with no record to run on, yet it will take a small miracle to defeat him…esp. since so many dead people and cartoon characters also plan to vote for him again. (Please, oh, please…let us get a voter ID law in place! But then again, the DOJ keeps over ruling them in states that pass them. What the heck do we do with that?!?) Pray for the blind to see…!!!!

  • 5

    George
    George Apr 25, 2012 at 9:55

    Ben, Karen, Michelle I join you in being perplexed about the inconsistent answers to questions 4, 15, 16, 21, and above all 23. On the other hand, much of the voter disaffection with the conservative candidate and message is largely due to the nasty primary that conservatives have waged against each other. The message is only now targeting Obama’s total failure in economics, foreign affairs, energy, debt management, etc, etc. Hopefully, the inconsistent voters will stop and consider Obama’s first term. Has he shown leadership, or divisiveness; has he been a President or just a politician. We conservatives are very late in making our positive message for preserving liberty while using valuable time trashing each other. That waste of time and effort should have ended long ago. If Obama does win a second term, he owes a great deal of thanks to Newt and Rick.

  • 6

    Nancy Speaks
    Nancy Speaks Apr 25, 2012 at 10:04

    I totally agree with Karen’s statement. Jane’s comments that most Democrats do not pay attention to what is going on rings true as I have tried to discuss the issues with my democrate friends and find they will not discuss any issue. Maybe our polls should rethink how they are asking questions for I find that most people will look at poll results and form an opinion.

  • 7

    Fred
    Fred Apr 25, 2012 at 10:16

    A lot of things in this survey surprised me, but nothing as much as the favorable impression of Medicare (71%) and Medicaid (58%), especially considering a third of the respondents were retired. Having dealt with Medicare for my deceased mother, and as a retired physician who participated in the Medicare program, I can only assume the 71% of people with a favorable impression have not yet had any dealings with Medicare. I believe it is a clumsy, awkward, inefficient, dysfunctional, fraud-ridden, wasteful, bureaucratic program bound up in senseless, illogical, counterproductive regulations and red tape and has no allowance for any application of common sense or rationality. And Medicaid is much worse.

  • 8

    Jay
    Jay Apr 25, 2012 at 11:54

    Speaking of Medicaid in particular. A very simple change would make a huge change in abuse and cost of the system. Charge a nominal copay. My daughter works works the emergence room. A huge number of people show up with clearly non emergency ( e.g. sore throat, a temperature without first trying aspirin or Tylenol ) conditions, because they know they can’t be turned away and it is “free”. I wonder how many of these people in the survey understand it is not “free” it is the same as asking your neighbor to pay for your trip the the Emergency Room.

  • 9

    A McSwain
    A McSwain Apr 25, 2012 at 12:08

    I am totally confused as many of you have attested to, because the percentile that still support Obamacare and would vote for him blow my mind. I find that when talking to Democrats that they would vote for anyone with Democrat by their name rather than do any research to determine what that person stands for and how it is going to affect our daily lives. Our country is going under,and yet we have so many uninformed people in this country who don’t have a care in the world about getting involved in our political system by just being a concerned citizen and checking into candidates’ ideology.

  • 10

    Tom Glendinning
    Tom Glendinning Apr 25, 2012 at 12:40

    Responses to questions # 23 and Obamacare are scary. # 29 shows 41% in ages 21-40 and 41 – 55, which appears to be the demographic for the 40% approval of Obama’s good judgement on health care issue., # 23.

    There are contradictions in results, IMO.
    #10 – NC legislature should not issue debt without voter approval 83%
    #14 – Govt will be the eventual single payer 47%
    #16 – No nationwide free health care 59%
    #17 – Worse off under health reform law 12% margin
    Several – against imposed costs and regs of Obamacare
    Favorable opinions on Medicaid and Medicare
    #23 – Obama has best judgement on future of health care 40% (20% + over
    next candidate)

    45% Dem, 33% Rep, 22% Ind

    Does this poll reflect Democratic confusion on issues and ogic? Or does it reflect a general confusion on the issues?
    It does show some erosion of Dem support of Obama, but the mix of responses to the survey does not confirm a clear defeat of Obama. If Obama has the best grasp of health care issues, why does support for Obamacare reduce on certain aspects of it? If we are worse off under the law (#17), how does Obama have best judgement of all the candidates? If we would be worse off
    under health care law, how would Dem Party do a better job of handling health care reform? #21 36%-33% 17% neither.

    The big one is that NC should not obligate taxpayers without voter approval, yet 40% think that Obama has best grasp of health care future, while public debt increased by $ 5 trillion under his programs.

    I have difficulty understanding that these results are so confounding and inconsistent, except for the fact that Democrats responded at a 45% rate. At least, some of them are conservative and the percentages reflect voter registration across the state.

  • 11

    Rick W.
    Rick W. Apr 25, 2012 at 21:51

    When your side only has one candidate, then that candidate will have a bigger number than the other side who will have multiple candidates. When each side only has one candidate, then the equation will look a lot different. The 40% who think NObama is the best to handle healthcare are the liberals who responded, everyone else likely split their opinion up amongst the candidate that they favored on the Republican side. As for me, I would have been in the 15% who thinks none of them are the best answer.

    If you total everything up, 52% think NObama is not the answer while 8% did not respond.

  • 12

    Robert Cuminale
    Robert Cuminale Apr 25, 2012 at 22:00

    To Fred,

    I am on Medicare and would rate it highly. The cost is reasonable for both it and my BCBS plan. I take three drugs a month none of them generic with what I consider reasonable copays. Really, a $300. a month drug for $30? A $476 one for $60? I’ve never had an issue that required me to deal with either since 2004 when I went on it. The same with Social Security. I do everything on my computer and never have to deal with either which probably has a lot to do with my satisfaction.

  • 13

    Robert Cuminale
    Robert Cuminale Apr 25, 2012 at 22:18

    For those who are puzzled by teh number of people who vote Democrat despite claiming to have conservative mores. Democrats are the most uninformed people out there. My son and his wife read nothing. No newspaper, no magazines. They watch cooking shows and HSN. Both are well educated, my son graduated state magna cum laude in civil engineering. I don’t try to talk to them anymore. They bore me to death. They both make buckets of money. She has a 10 year contract selling the Feds all the furniture in DC. He works for a large construction firm with federal contracts. They live in Fairfax County, VA and are the biggest Yuppies I have ever met. His mother and I are not up to his standards because we are Republicans. They know one veteran, me. My son thinks people who join the military do so because they aren’t very intelligent. Never mind these Yellow Dogs you are speaking about. It is these ignorant Yuppies that keep the Democrats in power.It’s the party of the intelligent people.

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