Sept. 30, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099 Francis.Deluca@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – U.S. Rep. Renee Ellmers leads challenger Clay Aiken by 8 percentage points in their race for House District 2, according to a new Civitas Flash Poll released today by the Civitas Institute.
In the flash poll, 400 registered voters from the congressional district were interviewed Sept. 26-28. The survey had a margin of error of plus/minus 5 percent.
In the poll, 47 percent said they planned to vote for Ellmers, a Republican, with 39 percent choosing Aiken, a Democrat. Fourteen percent were undecided.
Twenty-five percent held favorable opinions of Ellmers and 28 percent held unfavorable views, with 47 percent neutral or holding no opinion. Aiken’s rating was 25 percent favorable/35 percent unfavorable, with 40 percent neutral or unfavorable.
Asked if they approved of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, 40 percent approved, 54 percent disapproved, and 6 percent were not sure.
Forty-five percent approved of the job Pat McCrory is doing as governor, while 43 percent disapproved and 12 percent were not sure.
Asked who they would vote for if the U.S. Senate election were today, Republican Thom Tillis and Sen. Kay Hagan, a Democrat, tied at 44 percent each, with libertarian Sean Haugh picked by 7 percent and 5 percent undecided.
Actual text of questions*:
If the election for the United States House of Representatives were held today, would you vote for Republican Renee Ellmers? Or Democrat Clay Aiken?
47% Renee Ellmers (R)
39% Clay Aiken (D)
Is your opinion of Renee Ellmers favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Renee Ellmers?
24% No Opinion
Is your opinion of Clay Aiken favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Clay Aiken?
14% No Opinion
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
6% Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor?
12% Not Sure
If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, would you vote for … Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?
44% Thom Tillis (R)
44% Kay Hagan (D)
7% Sean Haugh (L)
*Because of rounding, totals may not equal 100.
For crosstabs, click here.
About the Poll: This poll of 400 registered voters in the NC Second Congressional District was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer Sept. 26-28, 2014. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or firstname.lastname@example.org.
For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.