Oct. 1, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Jim Tynen (919) 834-2099 Jim.Tynen@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH –Democrat Brad Salmon leads Republican Rep. Michael “Mike” Stone by 12 percentage points in the state House District 51 race, according to a new Flash Poll released today by the Civitas Institute.
In the flash poll, 300 registered voters from the district in Lee and Harnett counties were interviewed Sept. 24 and 25. The survey had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.8 percent.
In the poll, 37 percent said they planned to vote for Stone, with 49 percent choosing Salmon. Fourteen percent were undecided.
When asked if they viewed the candidates favorably or unfavorably, 32 percent said they were neutral about Stone or had no opinion. Fifty percent were neutral or had no opinion of Salmon.
Asked if they approved of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, 36 percent approved, 58 percent disapproved, and 6 percent were not sure.
Forty-one percent approved of the job Pat McCrory is doing as governor, while 49 percent disapproved and 10 percent were not sure.
House District 51 is rated as an R+5 district on the Civitas Partisan Index, which rates the relative partisan voting habits of legislative districts. For more on the CPI, click here.
Full text of questions*:
In the election for state legislature this fall, will you vote for … the Republican candidate? Or the Democratic candidate?
Is your opinion of Michael (Mike) Stone favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Michael (Mike) Stone?
13% No Opinion
Is your opinion of Brad Salmon favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Brad Salmon?
21% No Opinion
If the election for State Representative were today, would you vote for … Republican Michael (Mike) Stone? Or Democrat Brad Salmon?
37% Michael (Mike) Stone (R)
49% Brad Salmon (D)
In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
36% Right Direction
52% Wrong Track
12% Not Sure
Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address: New Jobs? The economy? Taxes? Government spending? Public education? Health care costs? Government corruption? Illegal immigration? The environment? Or some other issue?
14% New Jobs
10% Government Spending
20% Public Education
8% Health Care Costs
6% Government Corruption
10% Illegal Immigration
5% Other/Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
6% Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor?
10% Not Sure
If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, would you vote for … Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?
39% Thom Tillis (R)
45% Kay Hagan (D)
11% Sean Haugh (L)
On Election Day in November, what would you say would be your primary motive to vote? Will you be more motivated to vote based on … North Carolina specific issues, like state spending, education, and specific state laws and policies? Or national issues like Obamacare, the current administration, and foreign policy?
50% North Carolina-Specific Issues
46% National issues
1% Won’t Be Motivated
3% Not Sure
*Because of rounding, totals may not equal 100.
For crosstabs, click here.
About the Poll: This poll of 300 registered was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer Sept. 24-25, 2014. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or firstname.lastname@example.org.
For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.