A couple of interesting things with this poll:
1. Their percentage of African American voters — 24% — is higher than any other pollster has been and is higher than it will be (barring something really, really, really wacky happening.) African Americans make up 20.9% of registered voters. For blacks to make up 24% of the actual vote, they would have to turnout at near 100% and whites maintain their turnout levels from 2004. Not impossible, but highly, highly unlikely.
2. They have Obama only winning 25% of the white vote. As I wrote yesterday in a column released exclusively to our polling information list (sign up here), for Obama to win NC he needs to receive in excess of 36% of the white vote.
How many more polls like this until Obama pulls out of NC and decides to spend his money on more high-value targets like VA, CO, NM, MI, OH, FL or any of the other more competitive states?
I say 2 weeks.