In our latest poll, we have Sen. Richard Burr leading NC Sec. of State Elaine Marshall 43.7% to 33.0%.
Burr is leading among Republicans 79-6 and among Unaffiliateds 47-24. Marshall leads with Democrats but by a much smaller margin 57-17.
In fact, Burr’s hardcore support — those who say they are definitely voting for him (33.2%) — is slightly larger than Marshall’s overall support.
While yes, Burr is below 50%, he’s still in a good position. His base is solidified, so he can spend the next year winning swing voters. Meanwhile, Marshall still has to get through a potentially crowded primary (especially if Etheridge and/or Wicker get in the race), solidify her base and then start winning over unaffiliated voters that are already breaking for Burr.
Full results and crosstabs here.