The August poll from Rasmussen conducted for WRAL is out and has McCain leading by 4, 46-42.
When they push undecided voters to lean one way or another McCain leads 50-44.
The one aspect of the poll I found interesting was the Fav/Unfav ratings of both the candidates — a question we don’t ask in our survey. The public’s feelings about McCain is primarily grouped in the two middle ranges (Somewhat Approve/Somewhat Disapprove), while Obama is group at the extremes.
<p><p><p><p>Untitled Document</p></p></p></p>
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in North Carolina |
||
|
McCain |
Obama |
Very Favorable |
19% |
33% |
Somewhat Favorable |
40% |
18% |
Somewhat Unfavorable |
21% |
14% |
Very Unfavorable |
19% |
34% |
Not Sure |
1% |
2% |
What does all this mean? It appears Obama has an "intensity" about his vote. People are going to the polls to either vote for or vote against him. McCain is much more lukewarm, there isn’t some driving force that people feel the need to go and elect him President.
The deciding factor in this race will be whether Republicans feel motivited enough to go to the polls to go and vote against Obama or will their lukewarmness about McCain (and the GOP) convince some of them to just stay home.
(Thanks to Max for reconstructing the chart).
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