Last week, I published a brief piece titled Wake School Estimates must be double-checked. As the name implies, it calls for a skeptical eye toward Wake County Public School System (WCPSS) enrollment estimates; which in my judgement tend to be on the rosy side, almost bordering on unjustifiably optimistic.
That said, this morning’s News and Observer contains an article saying an enrollment shortfall of over 1,000 students could cost WCPSS about $2.4 million in funding.
Predicting K-12 enrollment is a difficult and potentially expensive task. All the more reason why WCPSS estimates need more scrutiny and should come from a neutral, independent source.