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Holding Captures Lead in NC-02

Trump and Tax Reform Above Water
October 30, 2018


RALEIGH, N.C. – In the final pre-election Civitas Poll of North Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District, voter sentiment has taken a potentially decisive turn in favor of Congressman George Holding (R).

The poll, conducted between October 24-28, 2018, found Holding with a 9-point lead over his next closest challenger, Linda Coleman, a former representative in the North Carolina General Assembly and two-time lieutenant gubernatorial candidate. This is a significant gain for Congressman Holding in light of an early September poll indicating he and Ms. Coleman were nearly tied (43-44).

In the election for U.S. House of Representatives, how do you vote?

George Holding     49%
Linda Coleman      40%
Jeff Matemu            2%
Undecided               9%

“This race has seen quite a turnaround since Labor Day, where multiple polls – including one from Civitas – indicated that Linda Coleman was slightly ahead in this race,” said Civitas Institute President Donald Bryson. “Over the past month, this district has seen a significant influx of spending from the Holding campaign, as well as outside groups such as the Congressional Leadership Fund.”

Those surveyed were also asked their opinion on the job President Trump is doing, as well as their support or opposition to the GOP–Trump federal tax reform law passed last December.

Responses were largely favorable for both.

Bryson continued, “This poll parallels with the Civitas statewide poll released last week, and a few national polls, that show President Trump’s job approval with a notable uptick in mid-to-late October to bring him just generally even. Taken altogether, it appears that North Carolina, in general, may be a bellwether for the rest of the country, and this poll seems to corroborate that.”

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

Approve         52%
Disapprove    44%
Not Sure           4%

From what you know about it now, do you support or oppose the federal tax reform law passed in December?

Support     44%
Oppose      35%
Not Sure    20%

This poll, conducted by SurveyUSA, surveyed 565 likely voters between 10/24/18-10/28/18. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. The margin of error is +/-4.5%.

For questions, or to arrange an interview, please contact Brooke Medina, communications director, at

Civitas has conducted live-caller voting in North Carolina since May 2005, and we are the only public policy organization offering statewide independent, nonpartisan data on a regular basis. Our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.

Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to advancing conservative ideas and shrinking the size of government. Civitas fights to eliminate government barriers to freedom so that North Carolinians can live a better life.

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