What does Madison Cawthorn's impressive victory in the 11th congressional district second primary mean? Judging by the top results of a Google search for Cawthorn, it is clear ... Keep Reading
Who has the advantage in the 11th district runoff?
We are a week from the June 23 11th Congressional District Republican second primary, so it is a good moment to see how the race is going. While Lynda Bennett was expected to do ... Keep Reading
State elections board is planning for the wrong election and potentially endangering voters
The State Board of Elections is preparing for 30% to 40% rate of mail-in voting this fall. The available data indicates that the actual figure will be much lower. Significant ... Keep Reading
Civitas poll: Trump, Tillis ahead but both parties have reasons to fear
The latest Civitas poll of likely voters gives both major parties something to fret over regarding the two statewide federal races this fall. Democrat's fear factor: Trump is on ... Keep Reading
Coronavirus elections bill has some bitter medicine, but is it necessary?
(Correction added on May 23 to item 3 under "changes for 2020 only.") We knew that it was coming. Since the coronavirus began affecting government policy back in March, I ... Keep Reading
State elections board seeks sweeping powers to disregard election law
On May 11, I noted that the State Board of Elections (SBE) was proposing to expand the emergency powers of SBE Executive Director Karen Brinson Bell and that she “may be tempted to ... Keep Reading
Introducing the 2020 Civitas Partisan Index
By Andy Jackson and Leah Byers The Civitas Partisan Index is a measure of the partisan leanings of North Carolina state legislative districts Court-ordered redistricting ... Keep Reading
A few notes and observations from the North Carolina primary
From a Civitas perspective, one of the main takeaways from the March 3 North Carolina primary was the accuracy of our tracking polls. Civitas captured former vice president Joe ... Keep Reading
Student loans, Super Tuesday, and socialism
Ray is back from the beach and we're going to meander through a variety of topics, as there are quite a few scenic things to view and discuss! We'll begin our journey with a deep ... Keep Reading
Is North Carolina facing a Virginia-style leftward lurch?
The News & Observer's Ned Barnett recently wrote an editorial in which he stated that North Carolina may soon be in for a sudden lurch to the left like the one Virginia is ... Keep Reading