Aug. 31, 2012
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Jim Tynen (919) 834-2099
Raleigh, N.C. – The newest Civitas Poll shows Republican Pat McCrory with a solid lead over Democratic Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton in the gubernatorial race among unaffiliated North Carolina voters , 46 percent to 29 percent. Libertarian Barbara Howe was the choice of 10 percent.
The poll was conducted Aug. 20-21, and surveyed 400 voters registered as unaffiliated in North Carolina. The poll had a margin of error of plus/minus 4.9 percent.
Unaffiliated voters, also known as independents, are the fastest growing segment of the state’s electorate. They now account for 25 percent of North Carolina voters.
Asked if they had favorable or unfavorable views of McCrory, 45 percent of the unaffiliated voters had a favorable view, and 24 percent had an unfavorable view. Dalton’s rating was 23 percent favorable/20 percent unfavorable. As important, 29 percent had no opinion of the lieutenant governor, and 27 had not heard of him. “Many voters just don’t know who Walter Dalton is,” Civitas President Francis X. De Luca said.
Democratic President Obama and GOP candidate Mitt Romney were in a dead heat, with each supported by 45 percent of the respondents in the August Civitas Poll of unaffiliated voters.
Full text of question:
[civitas_poll id=”2012_08″ question=”presvote_2012″]
[civitas_poll id=”2012_08″ question=”govvote_2012″]
Now I am going to read you a list of people active in politics. After I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never heard of them just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one.
[civitas_poll id=”2012_08″ question=”mccrory_fav”]
[civitas_poll id=”2012_08″ question=”dalton_fav”]
Commentary by political consultant Brad Crone available here.
Crosstabs available soon.
About the Poll:
This poll of 400 registered, unaffiliated 2012 general election voters in North Carolina was conducted Aug. 20-21, 2012 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered 2012 general election voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past three general elections (2006, 2008, 2010) or be newly registered to vote since November 2, 2010.
The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4.9% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in at least one of the past three general elections or is newly registered since November 2, 2010.
The Civitas Poll is the only regular live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
Information on future polls will be available at Civitas Poll Lunches in the near future.
More information on the Civitas Institute is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099.